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This makes no sense to me. The advantage is always with the attacker as long as he can throw one dice more than the defender.11 on 11 is the last number at which defender has the advantage (when the 2 territories in question have an equal number) where the attacker wins only 49.4% of the time. At 12 on 12, odds favor the attacker at 50.7%. Attacker has advantage at all numbers greater than this.
Just a random pointless fact.
You misunderstood either what Cromus said, or what GAMBIT computes:TipTop wrote:This makes no sense to me. The advantage is always with the attacker as long as he can throw one dice more than the defender.11 on 11 is the last number at which defender has the advantage (when the 2 territories in question have an equal number) where the attacker wins only 49.4% of the time. At 12 on 12, odds favor the attacker at 50.7%. Attacker has advantage at all numbers greater than this.
Just a random pointless fact.
He can do this at 4v4 but after the first 3v2 roll the attacker will mostly not be able to do it a 2nd time hence he is still an underdog to take the territory.
5v5 that changes. After the first 3v2 roll the attacker will mostly have the extra dice advantage to the end giving him the edge.
GAMBIT BATTLE ODDS CALCULATOR
2v2 territory defeated by attacker 36.26543%
3v3 territory defeated by attacker 47.02511%
4v4 territory defeated by attacker 47.65309%
5v5 territory defeated by attacker 50.62028%
the odds just get better the higher you go as the extra dice advantage has more time to work
11v11 territory defeated by attacker 57.62945%
35v35 territory defeated by attacker 69.33711%
99v99 territory defeated by attacker 82.30450%
so this shows once you get to 5v5 attack is the best form of defence
Which is also a 49.6% chance of failure...chessplaya wrote:alex_white101 wrote:well then, how come i attacked a 35 on 35 and ended 3 vs 25?!?!?!
he said a 50.4% chance to succeed
Your tiny writing frustrates me sometimes.Robinette wrote:Which is also a 49.6% chance of failure...chessplaya wrote:alex_white101 wrote:well then, how come i attacked a 35 on 35 and ended 3 vs 25?!?!?!
he said a 50.4% chance to succeed
So is the glass half FULL, or half EMPTY ???
For me it all depends on what's IN the glass...
If it's an Ice cold margarita, the glass is half FULL
If it's a tepid beer, the glass is definitely half EMPTY
Go now, and apply this lesson to your Risk strategy!
mnnnn... never thought of it that way....eyeofdeath wrote:Your tiny writing frustrates me sometimes.Robinette wrote:Which is also a 49.6% chance of failure...chessplaya wrote:alex_white101 wrote:well then, how come i attacked a 35 on 35 and ended 3 vs 25?!?!?!
he said a 50.4% chance to succeed
So is the glass half FULL, or half EMPTY ???
For me it all depends on what's IN the glass...
If it's an Ice cold margarita, the glass is half FULL
If it's a tepid beer, the glass is definitely half EMPTY
Go now, and apply this lesson to your Risk strategy!
But that doesn't make sense to me because....
If the liquid was tepid beer, i would want to get rid of it, making it seem like there was too much....there for, half FULL
but that's just me...
the 3 to 7 attack is very rare, but it does occasionally happen, the 18 to 24 is a very wise attack to make if you have nothing to lose....id much rather make the attack than let the 24 butcher my 18...rsuttles58 wrote:I've got a question along these lines. It's about dice odds.
So I was playing a game with friends last night who aren't the best of players.
I lost THREE battles where I was attacked by someone that had less troops than I had defending the territory.
1. The first one was just asinine. The guy attacked me in a 3v7 situation and WON without losing a single troop. He took that territory and then attacked with his 2 troops and broke my bonus on a territory behind it.
2. The other notable one was in a situation where I had 25 troops defending a territory and a guy attacked me with 18 troops. He won with 6 troops left over.
Did I just have the luck of the Jews here or are the odds really THAT much in favor of the attacker? My friends tried telling me that their attacking armies had the favorable odds when attacking in these situations. I actually called my girlfriend to make sure I wasn't losing my mind.
calkid wrote:if you are good at figuring out odds, i would like a breakdown of the odds when there is the same amount of armie on each territory. include the extra dice for the attatcker and the tie(WIN) for the defender. i would like to see a breakdown from 1vs 1 TO 15 vs 15 instead of just stating the odds. i want to know how you come up with that.
Well if he says the situation ended with 3 vs. 25, technically he didn't fail. He still has a possibility of winning the territory. It's all about believing =)Robinette wrote:chessplaya wrote:alex_white101 wrote:well then, how come i attacked a 35 on 35 and ended 3 vs 25?!?!?!
he said a 50.4% chance to succeed
Which is also a 49.6% chance of failure...
So is the glass half FULL, or half EMPTY ???
For me it all depends on what's IN the glass...
If it's an Ice cold margarita, the glass is half FULL
If it's a tepid beer, the glass is definitely half EMPTY
Go now, and apply this lesson to your Risk strategy!
