[CC5] FALL vs LHDD [31-30] FINAL 9/04

by **betiko** on Thu Jul 30, 2015 5:24 am

well it looks like we'll give you a good fight till the end, looking at the ongoing games this looks closer than ever.
Has anyone ever overcome a 7-13 in a batch 1?

by **IcePack** on Thu Jul 30, 2015 7:28 am

betiko wrote:well it looks like we'll give you a good fight till the end, looking at the ongoing games this looks closer than ever.
Has anyone ever overcome a 7-13 in a batch 1?

I don't know about in the past but it won't happen this time

by **betiko** on Thu Jul 30, 2015 8:31 am

The way i see it right now is 27-28 for you guys

by **donche64** on Thu Jul 30, 2015 10:21 am

Same prediction over here. Thats a hell of a fight. GO HUSSARDS!!

by **IcePack** on Thu Jul 30, 2015 10:39 am

betiko wrote:The way i see it right now is 27-28 for you guys

I guess you have to keep up hope somehow

by **betiko** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 3:24 am

IcePack wrote:
betiko wrote:The way i see it right now is 27-28 for you guys

I guess you have to keep up hope somehow

speak up your predictions ice!

by **Doc_Brown** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 11:10 am

I've got this as 27-30 in favor of FALL:

GAME STATUS
Set 1 + TB - Result: 8-11
Forecast: 8-13 (FALL)
Set 2 - Result: 8-8
Forecast: 11-9 (LHDD)
Set 3 - Result: 4-2
Forecast: 8-8 (LHDD)

Overall - Result: 20-21
Forecast: 27-30 (FALL)

Likely LHDD
Game 15787645 Monsters - s2
Game 15817508 Rorke's Drift - s3

Advantage LHDD
Game 15778677 Feudal Epic - s2
Game 15779650 Montreal - s2
Game 15816230 Conquer 500 - s3
Game 15817504 Vertex - s3
Game 15817505 Austerlitz - s3

Even
Game 15817525 Bamboo Jack - s3
Game 15817510 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15817513 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15819917 Eurasia - s3

Advantage FALL
Game 15779654 First Nations America - s2
Game 15816223 Battle for Iraq - s3
Game 15816246 Labyrinth - s3
Game 15816242 Prohibition Chicago - s3
Game 15816231 New Zealand - s3
Game 15816236 France 2.1 - s3
Game 15816245 Philadelphia - s3

Likely FALL
Game 15740144 Das Schloss - s1
Game 15740150 Conquer Rome - s1

by **Donelladan** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 11:14 am

Well, this is wrong, real estimated score is 27-28 like betiko said, but you'd need to be playing them to know that.
From your post, 1 fall advantage is actually lhdd advantage, and another should be even. But things can change pretty fast there, everything is possible.

by **IcePack** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:03 pm

I have 29-28 FALL, yesterday was 30-27 but austerity has recently turned.

by **iAmCaffeine** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:10 pm

Wooo Hussards!

by **Keefie** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:16 pm

by **betiko** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:46 pm

IcePack wrote:I have 29-28 FALL, yesterday was 30-27 but austerity has recently turned.

i have it at 28-28

by **betiko** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:47 pm

Keefie wrote:

pretty much! This is the money time!!!

by **betiko** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:53 pm

Doc_Brown wrote:I've got this as 27-30 in favor of FALL:

GAME STATUS
Set 1 + TB - Result: 8-11
Forecast: 8-13 (FALL)
Set 2 - Result: 8-8
Forecast: 11-9 (LHDD)
Set 3 - Result: 4-2
Forecast: 8-8 (LHDD)

Overall - Result: 20-21
Forecast: 27-30 (FALL)

Likely LHDD
Game 15787645 Monsters - s2
Game 15817508 Rorke's Drift - s3

Advantage LHDD
Game 15778677 Feudal Epic - s2
Game 15779650 Montreal - s2
Game 15816230 Conquer 500 - s3
Game 15817504 Vertex - s3
Game 15817505 Austerlitz - s3

Even
Game 15817525 Bamboo Jack - s3
Game 15817510 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15817513 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15819917 Eurasia - s3

Advantage FALL
Game 15779654 First Nations America - s2
Game 15816223 Battle for Iraq - s3
Game 15816246 Labyrinth - s3
Game 15816242 Prohibition Chicago - s3
Game 15816231 New Zealand - s3
Game 15816236 France 2.1 - s3
Game 15816245 Philadelphia - s3

Likely FALL
Game 15740144 Das Schloss - s1
Game 15740150 Conquer Rome - s1

you got this more or less right except for philadelphia that is really going our way.... we've been dropping 20v12 for a few rounds and we'll take our sweet time (clearly a "likely lhdd" as you would call it). Other than this I think the only difference with my forecast is that I have france 2.1 at even given that it's escalating and anything can happen.

by **rockfist** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 2:10 pm

Yep,

Philly is a strange map where if you can get someone on your team to one territory way in the back, you get a big edge.

by **IcePack** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 2:15 pm

betiko wrote:
Doc_Brown wrote:I've got this as 27-30 in favor of FALL:

GAME STATUS
Set 1 + TB - Result: 8-11
Forecast: 8-13 (FALL)
Set 2 - Result: 8-8
Forecast: 11-9 (LHDD)
Set 3 - Result: 4-2
Forecast: 8-8 (LHDD)

Overall - Result: 20-21
Forecast: 27-30 (FALL)

Likely LHDD
Game 15787645 Monsters - s2
Game 15817508 Rorke's Drift - s3

Advantage LHDD
Game 15778677 Feudal Epic - s2
Game 15779650 Montreal - s2
Game 15816230 Conquer 500 - s3
Game 15817504 Vertex - s3
Game 15817505 Austerlitz - s3

Even
Game 15817525 Bamboo Jack - s3
Game 15817510 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15817513 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15819917 Eurasia - s3

Advantage FALL
Game 15779654 First Nations America - s2
Game 15816223 Battle for Iraq - s3
Game 15816246 Labyrinth - s3
Game 15816242 Prohibition Chicago - s3
Game 15816231 New Zealand - s3
Game 15816236 France 2.1 - s3
Game 15816245 Philadelphia - s3

Likely FALL
Game 15740144 Das Schloss - s1
Game 15740150 Conquer Rome - s1

you got this more or less right except for philadelphia that is really going our way.... we've been dropping 20v12 for a few rounds and we'll take our sweet time (clearly a "likely lhdd" as you would call it). Other than this I think the only difference with my forecast is that I have france 2.1 at even given that it's escalating and anything can happen.

Agreed w/ philly, it's LHDD. France is ESC, but it is currently leaning FALL. So while anything can happen and it's not likely fall just leaning, it is in that category. Plus I have one of the other evens in the advantage fall column.

by **Doc_Brown** on Fri Jul 31, 2015 2:31 pm

You're right. I think I had Philly as even for a while because the territory difference leaned one way and the deploys leaned the other. I didn't look quite as closely on that one when I went through this again. Eurasia is kind of in a similar boat, and I almost put that as Advantage FALL.