Conquer Club

[CC5] FALL vs LHDD [31-30] FINAL 9/04

Finished challenges between two competitive clans.

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Wich clan will win this war

LHDD by a lot
5
11%
LHDD by a little
18
40%
FALL by a little
19
42%
FALL by a lot
3
7%
 
Total votes : 45

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby rockfist on Tue Jul 07, 2015 10:22 pm

I never bother with calculations, I just go by gut feel.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby betiko on Wed Jul 08, 2015 4:40 am

loutil wrote:To be clear...70 vs 9,3,3,9,3,70 is NOT less than 1%. It is actually just above 8% meaning it will succeed 1 in 12 attempts. Certainly lucky but not a 1% or 1 in 100. They would have needed to kill an additional stack of 15 to get it below 1%.


yeah I don't have the odds calculator since the site decided to screw all add ons and the firefox version. I just feel screwed when these bellow 10% stuff happen...
rockfist I rarely calculate them anymore, it's more about gut feeling of what the % is more or less.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby IcePack on Wed Jul 08, 2015 10:16 pm

What does LHDD have the games at right now? Just curious to compare numbers ;)
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby Donelladan on Thu Jul 09, 2015 1:04 am

Smthg like 10-14 or 9-16 for you guys at our last update.
1st set should finished between 9-11 and 6-14 for you according to me.

But then, what are your numbers?
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby betiko on Thu Jul 09, 2015 2:22 am

in other words, we are getting ass raped so far!
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby iAmCaffeine on Thu Jul 09, 2015 9:06 am

betiko wrote:in other words, we are getting ass raped so far!


That's the best kind.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby rockfist on Thu Jul 09, 2015 9:39 am

Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby betiko on Thu Jul 09, 2015 9:58 am

rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.


pretty much. Still haven't heard about your forecasts ice.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby IcePack on Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:16 am

betiko wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.


pretty much. Still haven't heard about your forecasts ice.


You guys answered while I slept & now I'm at work, don't have my info in front of me. I think I had 16-11 if I included slight leanings, but 13-8 ish realistically. But again, that's from memory I might be off. I can post later w my actual #'s from yesterday
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby Donelladan on Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:38 am

rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.


We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other :D
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby iAmCaffeine on Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:39 am

Donelladan wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.


We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other :D


Is one of them Momo by any chance? :D
Last edited by iAmCaffeine on Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby betiko on Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:43 am

iAmCaffeine wrote:
Donelladan wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.


We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other :D


Is one of the Momo by any chance? :D


yup... my forecasts vs momo's forecasts lol. We're never on the same page! :lol:
and ice, those include the games leaning one way or the other.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby iAmCaffeine on Thu Jul 09, 2015 10:45 am

betiko wrote:
iAmCaffeine wrote:
Donelladan wrote:
rockfist wrote:Huge difference between 14-10 and 16-9...huge.


We have two members making pronostic in LHDD, on is more optimistic than the other :D


Is one of the Momo by any chance? :D


yup... my forecasts vs momo's forecasts lol. We're never on the same page! :lol:


Well, we all know Momo is ever the optimist, and I have you pegged as a slight pessimist, so therefore we should probably go for a 15-9.5 I reckon.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby loutil on Thu Jul 09, 2015 12:17 pm

betiko wrote:
loutil wrote:To be clear...70 vs 9,3,3,9,3,70 is NOT less than 1%. It is actually just above 8% meaning it will succeed 1 in 12 attempts. Certainly lucky but not a 1% or 1 in 100. They would have needed to kill an additional stack of 15 to get it below 1%.


yeah I don't have the odds calculator since the site decided to screw all add ons and the firefox version. I just feel screwed when these bellow 10% stuff happen...
rockfist I rarely calculate them anymore, it's more about gut feeling of what the % is more or less.


All I did was reinstall an older version of Firefox and kept all my tools 8-) .
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby IcePack on Thu Jul 09, 2015 12:28 pm

loutil wrote:
betiko wrote:
loutil wrote:To be clear...70 vs 9,3,3,9,3,70 is NOT less than 1%. It is actually just above 8% meaning it will succeed 1 in 12 attempts. Certainly lucky but not a 1% or 1 in 100. They would have needed to kill an additional stack of 15 to get it below 1%.


yeah I don't have the odds calculator since the site decided to screw all add ons and the firefox version. I just feel screwed when these bellow 10% stuff happen...
rockfist I rarely calculate them anymore, it's more about gut feeling of what the % is more or less.


All I did was reinstall an older version of Firefox and kept all my tools 8-) .


Good ol' reliable Firefox 30.0!
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby Doc_Brown on Thu Jul 09, 2015 12:44 pm

I know this is off topic (but if everyone can hijack our war thread for a discussion of clan merges, why not start a conversation about site add-ons here? :lol: ), but I have the latest version of Firefox. Bob doesn't work right, but the panel interface works fine, and I have clickies, chat glove, and assault odds working flawlessly (most of the time!). It's actually pretty nice having the assault odds in one of the panels so I can position it where it's most convenient while looking at the map.
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-3]

Postby IcePack on Thu Jul 09, 2015 11:41 pm

I have it at:
FALL 15
LHDD 10

As of right now. Out of those, I have 12-7 "locked" (meaning very low chance of moving sides)
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-5]

Postby IcePack on Sat Jul 11, 2015 6:06 pm

Spanish Armada has FALLEN! 7-5
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [6-5]

Postby betiko on Sat Jul 11, 2015 9:57 pm

ww2 poland trips to put it back in 1 game! 6-7
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [7-6]

Postby Momo33 on Sun Jul 12, 2015 7:44 am

score updated
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [7-6]

Postby betiko on Sun Jul 12, 2015 8:37 am

in decided games I have this at 12-10 fallen right now
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [7-6]

Postby jcmagno on Sun Jul 12, 2015 11:37 pm

nice come back! ;)
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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [7-6]

Postby betiko on Mon Jul 13, 2015 11:24 am

austrum in the bag! that's 7-7... first tie since the war started.

but more decided wins coming your way....
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