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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby Zivel on Mon Mar 31, 2014 5:52 pm

On the math of a no lynch:

No lynch day one:
Day 2: 6 town 2 scum: 25% chance of lynching scum
Day 3: 4 town 2 scum: 33% chance of lynching scum

Lynch day one:
Day 2: 5 town 2 scum: 28.5% chance of lynching scum
Day 3 : 3 town 2 scum: 40% chance of lynching scum

Each day we have an option of a misslynch. This is crucial, missing one of these is bad.

Now we have to work out who to lynch.
I say legionnare, he seems dodgy. :P
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby Iron Butterfly on Mon Mar 31, 2014 6:39 pm

Zivel wrote:On the math of a no lynch:

No lynch day one:
Day 2: 6 town 2 scum: 25% chance of lynching scum
Day 3: 4 town 2 scum: 33% chance of lynching scum

Lynch day one:
Day 2: 5 town 2 scum: 28.5% chance of lynching scum
Day 3 : 3 town 2 scum: 40% chance of lynching scum

Each day we have an option of a misslynch. This is crucial, missing one of these is bad.

Now we have to work out who to lynch.
I say legionnare, he seems dodgy. :P


keep in mind those are the probabilities with a group consensus and someone picked at random. As the game progresses the blinders on Town slowly lift depending on PRs, vote histories and gameplay.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby charm on Mon Mar 31, 2014 10:07 pm

Way cool info guys!
I like going with my gut instinct to sniff out scum this early in the game...unfortunately I only scored a C in statistics class!! :lol:
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Mar 31, 2014 11:04 pm

charm wrote:Mookie you need a cooler Avatar!
Zivel has a really cool Avatar - so he must be town.
Lootier - you have great pic!

Unvote MudPuppy

Vote Mookie
until he gets a cooler Avatar!
=D> =D> =D> =D> =D>


Wow Charm, that sounds like your trying to extort me into changing my avatar. I won;t submit to the mafia.

unvote Iron Butterfly

Vote Charm


@ Iron butterfly , I didn't intend to bandwagon but I'm new to this game... When somebody says someone else did something or said something "mafiaesque" and i agree with him, and vote for that person that is considered scummy? I guess I just dont understand this game...I thought the point was you discover which people are scummy based on what they say?
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby charm on Mon Mar 31, 2014 11:12 pm

mookiemcgee wrote:
charm wrote:Mookie you need a cooler Avatar!
Zivel has a really cool Avatar - so he must be town.
Lootier - you have great pic!

Unvote MudPuppy

Vote Mookie
until he gets a cooler Avatar!
=D> =D> =D> =D> =D>


Wow Charm, that sounds like your trying to extort me into changing my avatar. I won;t submit to the mafia.

unvote Iron Butterfly

Vote Charm



Mookie - You're not allowed to vote for me, just because I vote for you. That's rule #13. Duh!! :roll:

@ Iron butterfly , I didn't intend to bandwagon but I'm new to this game... When somebody says someone else did something or said something "mafiaesque" and i agree with him, and vote for that person that is considered scummy? I guess I just dont understand this game...I thought the point was you discover which people are scummy based on what they say?
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Mar 31, 2014 11:13 pm


So let me ask you both, Degaston and Mookie...In a game this small why do you believe no-lynch would be in Towns best interest? Second question. What other comments do you believe Mafia would make and better yet What actions do you think mafia could make that would perhaps betray their enlightenment??

FOS Mookie.


I never said a no lynch on the first (in game) day was a good idea, I simply didn't want to lynch someone right away (like the first real life day), again my first game just started and a few of the vets in that game were warning the newbs not lynch someone in the opening (real life) day because of all the joke voting that was going on.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Mar 31, 2014 11:14 pm

Also what does "FOS" mean?
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby MudPuppy on Mon Mar 31, 2014 11:24 pm

mookiemcgee wrote:Also what does "FOS" mean?

Finger Of Suspicion. You point your FOS at someone you think is scummish. :mrgreen:
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby mookiemcgee on Mon Mar 31, 2014 11:51 pm

MudPuppy wrote:
mookiemcgee wrote:Also what does "FOS" mean?

Finger Of Suspicion. You point your FOS at someone you think is scummish. :mrgreen:


Aha, got it.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby legionnare on Tue Apr 01, 2014 12:03 am

degaston wrote:
legionnare wrote:
Zivel wrote:Hey! Dega Unvoted me.

Nope Dega's vote is still on you, I unvoted you.

Nope, I switched to no vote yesterday. http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=213&t=203426&start=45#p4456546

So, this is the game? We randomly accuse each other and see what the responses are like? :-s Okay, I Vote: Legionnare, because he wasn't paying close enough attention to see that I unvoted Zivel.


You didn't put 'unvote' before changing your vote to No Lynch, based on the games I've read through this would mean that you're previous vote (Zivel) still counts. Is this right MOD
This was the basis of me saying that you're vote was still on Zivel
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby legionnare on Tue Apr 01, 2014 12:04 am

joak wrote:Sorry I've no been aboot was out on the town celebraton ma daughters birthday ..early days yet and not sussed anybody out yet so I will just be taking it in just now

Congrats on your daughters B'day! =D> =D>
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby Lootifer on Tue Apr 01, 2014 12:19 am

legionnare wrote:
degaston wrote:
legionnare wrote:
Zivel wrote:Hey! Dega Unvoted me.

Nope Dega's vote is still on you, I unvoted you.

Nope, I switched to no vote yesterday. http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=213&t=203426&start=45#p4456546

So, this is the game? We randomly accuse each other and see what the responses are like? :-s Okay, I Vote: Legionnare, because he wasn't paying close enough attention to see that I unvoted Zivel.


You didn't put 'unvote' before changing your vote to No Lynch, based on the games I've read through this would mean that you're previous vote (Zivel) still counts. Is this right MOD
This was the basis of me saying that you're vote was still on Zivel

Nah no need to unvote.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby legionnare on Tue Apr 01, 2014 1:33 am

Lootifer wrote:
legionnare wrote:
degaston wrote:
legionnare wrote:
Zivel wrote:Hey! Dega Unvoted me.

Nope Dega's vote is still on you, I unvoted you.

Nope, I switched to no vote yesterday. http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=213&t=203426&start=45#p4456546

So, this is the game? We randomly accuse each other and see what the responses are like? :-s Okay, I Vote: Legionnare, because he wasn't paying close enough attention to see that I unvoted Zivel.


You didn't put 'unvote' before changing your vote to No Lynch, based on the games I've read through this would mean that you're previous vote (Zivel) still counts. Is this right MOD
This was the basis of me saying that you're vote was still on Zivel

Nah no need to unvote.


Ok my mistake, thanks MOD
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby charm on Tue Apr 01, 2014 10:50 am

Unvote

VOTE IB
- I would like to walk in his woods - great pic! Besides, the noobs need to pick on the old timers.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby Lootifer on Tue Apr 01, 2014 4:44 pm

Vote count:

charm (1/L-4): mookiemcgee
Zivel (1/L-4): MudPuppy
MudPuppy (1/L-4): Iron Butterfly
H8 AFK (0):
joak (0):
mookiemcgee (0):
degaston (0):
legionnare (2/L-3): Zivel, degaston
Iron Butterfly (1/L-4): charm

No Lynch (0):

Not voting: charm, H8 AFK, joak, legionnare

With 9 alive it takes 5 to lynch

Deadline is, like, ages away

Will be sending out prods tonight. Also deadline will be three weeks unless I see a significant pickup in activity
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby joak on Tue Apr 01, 2014 5:01 pm

Ok in my only other game I thought maybe that folk that didn't say to much are maybe hiding something ...but that would be me in this game so I'm not votin for myself ! So this time I think I will go for someone that talks a lot to cover up dodgy stuff sovote iron butterfly I've been quiet due to work loads but I'm here now
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby legionnare on Tue Apr 01, 2014 5:07 pm

Well I see Zivel and Degaston both still have their vote on me, despite me countering their reasons for voting for me.
So vote H8 just to get him more involved
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby H8 AFK on Tue Apr 01, 2014 5:54 pm

Sorry guys, been working late's.

I'm going to vote for the guy who's not a noob and is keen to let us know that. I reckon that's a bullying tactic so as not to vote him out, so with that in mind..vote Iron Butterfly
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby Iron Butterfly on Tue Apr 01, 2014 9:06 pm

H8 AFK wrote:Sorry guys, been working late's.

I'm going to vote for the guy who's not a noob and is keen to let us know that. I reckon that's a bullying tactic so as not to vote him out, so with that in mind..vote Iron Butterfly


Or perhaps I was simply helping. mafia never say "gee guys I'm quiet because i am mafia and don't know what to say without sounding suspicious." They usually make excuses about real life keeping them busy.

I want you to show me where I have tried to bully anyone to do anything. Bullying implies that one tries to force someone to do something against their will or to do something abusive.

I am Vanilla Townie.

If I do happen to get lynched you can guarantee there is mafia on the wagon.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby degaston on Tue Apr 01, 2014 10:10 pm

Okay, I'm going to Vote: mookiemcgee because no one has voted for him yet.

Could we get a non-binding poll of who is being voted for? It's kind of a pain to keep track of.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby mookiemcgee on Tue Apr 01, 2014 10:52 pm

Well Charm actually did vote for me already, and there is a post on page 6 of the current vote count. I don't think it tracks redacted votes though.
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby Lootifer on Wed Apr 02, 2014 3:41 am

Vote count:

charm (1/L-4): mookiemcgee
Zivel (1/L-4): MudPuppy
MudPuppy (1/L-4): Iron Butterfly
H8 AFK (1/L-4): legionnare
joak (0):
mookiemcgee (1/L-4): degaston
degaston (0):
legionnare (1/L-4): Zivel
Iron Butterfly (3/L-2): charm, joak, H8 AFK

No Lynch (0):

Not voting: no one

With 9 alive it takes 5 to lynch

Deadline is, like, ages away
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby degaston on Wed Apr 02, 2014 6:24 am

mookiemcgee wrote:Well Charm actually did vote for me already, and there is a post on page 6 of the current vote count. I don't think it tracks redacted votes though.
I meant to say I was voting for you because it was Tuesday. :D
Nice chain we have here - Zivel -> Legionnare -> H8 AFK -> Iron Butterfly -> MudPuppy -> Zivel
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby MudPuppy on Wed Apr 02, 2014 7:38 am

degaston wrote:Nice chain we have here - Zivel -> Legionnare -> H8 AFK -> Iron Butterfly -> MudPuppy -> Zivel

Unvote Zivel for voting for Legionnare, who voted for H8, who voted for IB, who voted for me. :mrgreen:
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Re: Welcome to Noobsville! Day 1: Have at it! [9/9]

Postby degaston on Wed Apr 02, 2014 8:57 am

MudPuppy wrote:
degaston wrote:Nice chain we have here - Zivel -> Legionnare -> H8 AFK -> Iron Butterfly -> MudPuppy -> Zivel

Unvote Zivel for voting for Legionnare, who voted for H8, who voted for IB, who voted for me. :mrgreen:

Vote: MudPuppy *shakes fist*
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