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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby drunkmonkey on Thu Sep 08, 2011 2:59 pm

I went back through the thread to re-read Rodion's posts, to try to catch the slightest tell. I found almost nothing. However, his public prod of killboy caught my attention:

Rodion wrote:As for pressuring someone right now, vote killboy.

Since you said in my FF7 thread that that would be your first game, I assume that this one is actually your first, so I'll give you an explanation on why you need to post more. Basically, other than a cop saying they got a guilty on someone (and our cop is already dead, by the way), the only way we can actually decide who is mafia is by analysing everyone's ideas/posts in the thread. If you don't post, you are technically immune to scrutiny and a mafia player that can't be scrutinized is in a great position to the town's dismay. That is why people will not let you be inactive/lurk and will vote you if you do that. Not having spectacular ideas is not a reason for not posting. Posting only to say that you don't know what to say is not helpful either (and, frankly, I'm not sure how Gimli is able to survive so long by doing that, but I digress). Anyway, your explanation is here and all excuses for not posting are off.

Squirrel, please prod him (and anyone else that has not posted at all during D3).


At this point, there had been suspicion on killboy, but no votes for the current day. It didn't hurt to cast a vote here, as he could pull it back later (which he did when he voted Victor). I believe this was an attempt to:
a) Distance himself from killboy if a lynch did happen
and, maybe more importantly,
b) Prod one of his fellow mafia members to be more active in the thread. When Rodion does post in the thread, it's full of information. He highlights facts on existing cases & presents new questions, while being sure not to shed negative light on the wrong people. It's a good strategy, and I believe he wanted the rest of his team to employ it as well. You can see how much effort he put into telling killboy to post more. There's only one other player he's encouraged to post more often:

Rodion wrote:
dazza2008 wrote:
Rodion wrote:
dazza2008 wrote:Listen! I also do not see what the case is on Rds. I thought he explained his actions quite well and believe what he said. It does seem Djfireside is bandwaggoning BGtheBrain and looking back at day 1 I am finding BG a bit suspicious too.

vote Djfireside


Listen! Carefully! This is the first time I see you but I'd like to establish some things before this game becomes a clusterfuck. I don't care that you have a credible softclaim in Navi, you're still accountable for your actions! Your one-line justification for an Rds vote yesterday rubbed me the wrong way. Now you are all over yourself saying that DJ is bandwagoning BG when he is actually bandwagoning Rds. You also mentioned you find BG suspicious without stating an actual reason. I want a reason on your next post.


Hey! Yes I perhaps phrased that wrongly. I meant bandwaggoning with BG on Rds. Sorry. After a few games I will hopefully get all the terms right but I hoped you would all get my point. Not sure exactly what else you want me to say Rodion? I had a point I wanted to say so I said it. If my point takes 1 line or 200 is it not the point i'm making that counts?


To clarify, I said "all over yourself" but I actually meant "all over the place".

Anyhow, it is pretty damn hard to explain your thoughts in 1 line. Short of a cop saying he got a guilty report or a counterclaim, one-liners are not enough to reveal your thought process behind it in a convincible manner. You said Rds was in a hurry to get the day to end. Why did you think that? Perhaps because he was the 5th (I think) jokevote on Yoshi? It takes 11 to lynch and it is not feasible to imagine that a jokevote bandwagon would actually get 11 votes without any of the jokevoters retracting his vote before it is too late. The "no lynch" suggestion, while poor, is not a proof of being scum, but rather someone having a different (possibly worse) strategical approach to the game. The suggestion happened in my first mafia game (Safari's Terminator Mafia) and AoG got to L-1 for suggesting it if I recall correctly. He was vanilla town.

I still want to know why you think BG is "a bit suspicious". You mentioned it without explaining.


Now, he also asked rds & Victor a few questions, but he didn't have nearly the same depth of conversation as he did with dazza. Just like he did with killboy, he seems to focus on encouraging dazza to post more, rather than the case itself. The only difference is no one is suspicious of dazza at this point.

Fast forward to the end of the day:
Mr. Squirrel wrote:
DoomYoshi wrote:Mr. Squirrel, can you verify whether or not we need a majority to lynch today or if it will be whoever has the most votes again?

I was going to lynch the most voted player. You guys still have about 6-8 hours til deadline. You guys can always vote no lynch if you want.

Vote Count

Killboy (2) - rds, nag
C9 (1) - MoB
victor (1) - rodion
rodion (1) - victor

18 alive, 10 to lynch

At this point, killboy has the lead by one vote. The next vote cast is:
dazza2008 wrote:Listen! I agree Commander9 has been very inactive. At this time I can't really see a better case vote C9

This makes a tie on killboy, and comes from a player who's been relatively inactive so far.

Yes, dazza has claimed Navi, but we don't know anything else about the role. One more side note, from just before the lynch. We haven't seen a fake claim yet, but this post leads me to believe mafia has them:
Rodion wrote:Killboy, if by any chance you are reading this, claim immediately. Fully. That means character, power and what you did with your power on the last 2 nights. It's probably too late to get enough people to unvote you if your claim is good, but at least we might get information that may clear/implicate people in the future.

Of course, it could just be Rodion distancing himself again.

"Hey! Listen!" isn't enough for me anymore.
vote dazza2008
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby BGtheBrain on Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:22 pm

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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby DoomYoshi on Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:44 pm

Navi could be a fakeclaim. That is a great post drunkmonkey. However, it seems like a bit of a thin stretch. Dazza had been all over the place, especially during day 1, so it is possible that Rodion was trying to build a case on dazza for later. Your hunch could very well be right, and I agree that the distinction you pointed out was quite uncanny. The problem is that Rodion is a VERY methodical player. If he does one thing to one scumbuddy, why wouldn't he do the same thing to a townie to create exactly this kind of lynch? I realize it's a WIFOM, but isn't that exactly what he would be trying to set up?

As for spiesr, the case is a bit more solid, but it can be a tough role to replace, and at first you can feel overwhelmed. Once again, you could very well be correct and it would be interesting to see how spiesr reacts to the pressure.

We are now done to 14 people. As such, those who are not posting often are becoming dead weight. Also, there is a good chance that at least some scum are submarining. For the time being though: vote spiesr.

You seem to be torn in different directions. What direction do you think we should take today?
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby MoB Deadly on Thu Sep 08, 2011 4:54 pm

Very Good Post DrunkMonkey... I won't lie as to say that dazza being scum has crossed my mind more than once. I was hoping town would also be suspect and at least "track" or investigate him or something to see if he visits anyone or is scum.

BGtheBrain, I see your thoughts on spieser, but look at my vote patterns, I think hes clean


I just want to bring to public eye, voting patterns. Those especially regarding Killboy. I just want to lay it on the table so people can pick it apart. In case I was alive and I was going to have to role call and things, I did some analysis of people that never voted for killboy, and/or defended him. Yes I defended him wrongfully I admit that. DoomYoshi also defended him, and I have in my notes that PancakeMix also defended him, but I cant find that post.


This is terribly formatted I apologize in advance. I have to leave, and sort of rushed the past 10 minutes. I have the biggest FOS on: DoomYoshi for his voting patterns throughout the entire killboy scenario, Smaller ones on Epitath, and maybe PCM if i can find that post.

I don't think anything really warrants a vote yet though

On D2
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On D3
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby Rodion on Thu Sep 08, 2011 5:13 pm

Is it just me or do days get more interesting after I die?

Gg everyone! Go mafia!
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby MoB Deadly on Thu Sep 08, 2011 5:29 pm

Rodion wrote:Is it just me or do days get more interesting after I die?

Gg everyone! Go mafia!


naw you played well Rodion! Definitely would of flown under the radar if they didnt bomb you, hope to see you in future games
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby pancakemix on Thu Sep 08, 2011 5:29 pm

MoB Deadly wrote:and I have in my notes that PancakeMix also defended him, but I cant find that post.


I think I know what post you're referring to. I simply stated that killboy's lynch was a lynch for the sake of lynching, nothing more. I am still of that opinion. The outcome of the lynch does not change that.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby dazza2008 on Thu Sep 08, 2011 5:58 pm

Hey! drunkmonkey. Good point about how Rodion did try to help out Killboy with posting more. I never even noticed he did it to me too. It was clever play by him. He is clever to do the same to a scum-mate then town too.

BG you say Navi could be 3rd party. This is wrong I am town.

I will have to go through the thread more and find connections with killboy and anyone.

The spiesr case is convincing me a bit but this could just be the difficulties of being a replacement and wanting to be active.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby DoomYoshi on Thu Sep 08, 2011 6:18 pm

pancakemix wrote:
MoB Deadly wrote:and I have in my notes that PancakeMix also defended him, but I cant find that post.


I think I know what post you're referring to. I simply stated that killboy's lynch was a lynch for the sake of lynching, nothing more. I am still of that opinion. The outcome of the lynch does not change that.


I agree with this, it was a lucky break for us him flipping scum. However, the reasons for it were still all wrong.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby DoomYoshi on Thu Sep 08, 2011 6:26 pm

So, MoB, are you trying to build a case on those who defended killboy even though you defended him as well?

At the time, I really was thinking we were leaning towards mislynch again. When Mr. S reminded us that no lynch was an option to avoid another mislynch it made sense to take it.

Also, I am not sure that I understand what happened here with VS and rds. Victor claims that rds did indeed target Victor and Rodion, but if he got a successful result, then clearly rds wasn't roleblocking either or both of those targets. Am I missing something here?
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby spiesr on Thu Sep 08, 2011 6:48 pm

BGtheBrain wrote:He's only made 11 posts and 8 of those were actual posts with info.
IN the short time hes been here (He replaced Naxus) He has managed to

FOS Epitaph
Say Dazza is Scummy
FOS Yoshi and Mob Deadly
FOS Mob Deadly and Daz
and Small FOS at DrunkMonkey

Typically when I see this behavior, it turns out to be scum being a little anxious to get something going on someone. Unless something better comes along.
Well, you are right when you say that my primary action since replacing into the game has been to toss FOS at several people. Basically my strategy thus far has been to mark any posts that I find to be somewhat suspicious. The reason behind this has been twofold. First, to point them out to the other players so they can pay attention to these posts and possibly develop discussion around them. Secondly, to save the posts for my self. So that I can remember what struck me as suspicious and then if someone does it often enough I can remember and then vote for them.
DoomYoshi wrote:You seem to be torn in different directions. What direction do you think we should take today?
Obviously we need to head from RDS to see what he has to say about his actions. After that, I don't really know yet. That is why I haven't laid down any votes just yet. Drunkmunky posted any interesting case on dazza. I am currently somewhat attacted to the idea of following it, howvever I how not sure if this is based on the case's own merits or simply that he is the only one who put in the effort to make a case...
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby Victor Sullivan on Thu Sep 08, 2011 9:51 pm

DoomYoshi wrote:Also, I am not sure that I understand what happened here with VS and rds. Victor claims that rds did indeed target Victor and Rodion, but if he got a successful result, then clearly rds wasn't roleblocking either or both of those targets. Am I missing something here?

My suspicion is he is a Mafia Busdriver. I mean, unless I'm an unblockable tracker, which seems quite odd. Vote rds. Things don't add up and he's submarining.

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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby drunkmonkey on Thu Sep 08, 2011 11:18 pm

Victor Sullivan wrote:
DoomYoshi wrote:Also, I am not sure that I understand what happened here with VS and rds. Victor claims that rds did indeed target Victor and Rodion, but if he got a successful result, then clearly rds wasn't roleblocking either or both of those targets. Am I missing something here?

My suspicion is he is a Mafia Busdriver. I mean, unless I'm an unblockable tracker, which seems quite odd. Vote rds. Things don't add up and he's submarining.

-Sully


I don't buy it. From the flavor, Rodion got the bomb two nights in a row. If you and Rodion were busdriven, that means the bomb vig targeted you on N2 and Rodion on N3.

I'm not sure what happened, but rds has checked out several times. Does MoB know freezie's N2 actions? It could possibly clear rds.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby drake_259 on Fri Sep 09, 2011 7:38 am

drunkmonkey wrote:
Victor Sullivan wrote:
DoomYoshi wrote:Also, I am not sure that I understand what happened here with VS and rds. Victor claims that rds did indeed target Victor and Rodion, but if he got a successful result, then clearly rds wasn't roleblocking either or both of those targets. Am I missing something here?

My suspicion is he is a Mafia Busdriver. I mean, unless I'm an unblockable tracker, which seems quite odd. Vote rds. Things don't add up and he's submarining.

-Sully


I don't buy it. From the flavor, Rodion got the bomb two nights in a row. If you and Rodion were busdriven, that means the bomb vig targeted you on N2 and Rodion on N3.

I'm not sure what happened, but rds has checked out several times. Does MoB know freezie's N2 actions? It could possibly clear rds.

Well its possible however we won't know until the bomber claims.



And great, thought the mafia lost the kill again.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby MoB Deadly on Fri Sep 09, 2011 7:42 am

drunkmonkey wrote:
I don't buy it. From the flavor, Rodion got the bomb two nights in a row. If you and Rodion were busdriven, that means the bomb vig targeted you on N2 and Rodion on N3.

I'm not sure what happened, but rds has checked out several times. Does MoB know freezie's N2 actions? It could possibly clear rds.


I didnt receive any info about feezies past actions :-/

Im still trying to figure things out. I know rds has been "cleared" several times, but this all seems just odd/weird/fishy/suspect. it would be good for rds do to some talking here
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby BGtheBrain on Fri Sep 09, 2011 7:49 am

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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby Epitaph1 on Fri Sep 09, 2011 9:50 am

1.
2. Commander9
3. Pancakemix
4. MoB deadly - claimed vanilla
5. rds - claimed roleblocker/boomerang
6. Shieldgenerator7
7.
8. Doomyoshi
9.
10. Victor Sullivan - claimed Ocarina
11.
12. Spiesr
13.
14.
15. Drunkmonkey
16. djfireside
17. drake_259
18. BG the brain
19. epitaph
20.
21. Dazza - claimed Navi

Dead Players:
1. Edocsil - Link the Wind waker killed night 1
2. Hensow - Link of Majora's Mask killed night 1
3. iliad - Link of the Oracle of Seasons lynched day 2
4. Killboy - Octorok (mafia Roleblocker) lynched day 3
5. Rodion - Ganondorf (1-shot bulletproof mafia godfather) killed night 3
6. / - Link of the Oracle of Seasons killed night 3 --> I think this is Oracle of Ages
7. nagerous - Deku Tree (Item Gifter) killed night 3

[/quote]

Here are some thoughts on the remaining characters:

Mafia/Bad Guys: One scene mentioned that there are 8 dungeons before we get to Ganondorf. We knocked off Octorok on the way to the dungeons and we also know that there is a Wizzrobe. I don't know if there is any significance to the "8 dungeons" idea because (to me) this suggests that there would be 8 additional monsters to kill, likely bosses like Gohma. However, this would leave a ton of mafia in the town.

Town/Good Guys: Zelda Windwaker is the most recent Link to be revealed going by the series chronology. If the remaining Links are all prior to WindWaker, we could still have 5 remaining Links (Original Zelda, Adventure of Link, Link to the Past, Ocarina of Time, & Link's awakening). There could be 4 more (Minish Cap, Twilight Princess, Phantom Hourglass, Spirit Tracks), but I could only see MC and TP as possible additional Links. Not to mention Navi.

3rd Party: At least Maple, but I wouldn't be surprised if there were others.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby / on Fri Sep 09, 2011 10:26 am

Well, it seems I was the... "weak link"
good luck town.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby shieldgenerator7 on Fri Sep 09, 2011 10:50 am

/ wrote:Well, it seems I was the... "weak link"
good luck town.


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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby shieldgenerator7 on Fri Sep 09, 2011 10:59 am

Yeah I highly doubt there are 8 mafia left, otherwise we'd be at LYLO or something. (or at least I hope) So let's see 21 players divided by four is aproximately 5, so maybe about 3 mafia members left. We have plenty of time before LYLO, although we don't know what other mechanics this game might entail. Three deaths in one night might imply an SK.

So just because it seems we have some time doesn't mean we should stop scumhunting. I think drunkmonkey provides a good case but Rodion yeah he's a good scum player and he probably would frame some townies to make them look scummy. The case itself is WIFOM anyway, tho it is a very good observation.

I forget why did MOB claim?

Also I'd like to mention the inactives: djfireside and com9. I'd don't know what's up with them but they have posted in a while.

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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby drunkmonkey on Fri Sep 09, 2011 11:15 am

I guess the bomb could be from SK, but that means he didn't have a N1 kill (N2 was failed attempt on Rodion). Of course, killboy could have blocked him N1. Interesting thought.

The dazza case was WIFOM (I think I'm using that acronym right...still not sure I completely understand it). What capped it off for me was the C9 vote. I haven't played enough to know Rodion's style. If you all think he knew the note to killboy would be picked up on, and did the same to dazza a day before in preparation, I guess I can take your word for it.

The Victor/rds saga is starting to intrigue me a little more. I'm eager to hear from rds today.

I would beg for the deadline to be extended until we hear from the inactives, such as djfireside & C9. And not just a "I'm here, and I'll post later", like C9's last post. I'd like everyone to chip in before we're forced to lynch someone on 3 votes again.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby pancakemix on Fri Sep 09, 2011 11:28 am

Victor claimed TP Link and MC Link was in the Day 3 as the doc. If we go with the first 5 Zelda games and those two, that means 7 Links. That would mean we have 7 people who aren't Link. I'd say you could probably give or take a few Links in there, but three mafia sounds about right.

My thoughts on the bomb: It might be a time released thing (like poisoning). If not, it might be a one-shot thing. Could be both. Not really sure.
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby MoB Deadly on Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:07 pm

shieldgenerator7 wrote:I forget why did MOB claim?

-SG7 ( :) )


I claimed because I knew I was going to be forced to. My actions looked extremely scummy defending killboy, and killboy saying "I like this MoB guy, he gets things moving. And then my thoughts on voting C9 rather than killboy. I was obviously in trouble as / tried to kill me so even he saw my scummy actions.

I also role called because it wouldnt hurt not to. The second part of the story would have been confusing if you weren't involved. Since I am now vanilla, mafia prob wont waste a night kill on me, and the town doesnt have to use their powers to determine if im scum or not.

Also, hoping someone may have "Watched" me or something and could figure out who this damned thief is... Or if there is an item witch, i don't have an item so hook a brotha out lol

It is peculiar who killed Gannondorf. If the first attempt failed, why would they try again? From the maf games I played, GFs and SKs are night invulnerable, so a repeat attack would of been just a waste of a night. But great call nonetheless
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby MoB Deadly on Fri Sep 09, 2011 12:10 pm

EBWOP - I didnt want to waste daylight with people building a case against me and defending it, ill just role call now so we can make a better case
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Re: Zelda Mafia ~ Day 4: Ganondorf is Dead

Postby BGtheBrain on Fri Sep 09, 2011 2:59 pm

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