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Charle wrote:My take of what happened last night is as follows:
First we are all in agreement we have the following setup:
2 x Vampires
2 x Wolves
9 x Town (Traf is dead, so 8 x Town left).
It seems that a Vampire killed Traf. Then another creature (Wolf) entered, had a fight with each other, Dev entered the room and the Wolf damaged Dev's protective Vest whereafter both creatures ran away.
Kong came up and said that Strike and EW are town, so Kong might be town aligned as well.
Just one question to both Dev and Kong, why on earth do both of you claim so early in the game? Scum will now know what both of your PR's are and that you have a protective vest Dev.
So if all the above is true, we have:
Confirmed Town:
1. Strike
2. EW
3. Kong
4. Dev
The Rest:
5. DDS
6. pmc
7. Vot
8. Loose
9. Fusi
10. Ragian
11. Pixar
12. Charle
If we lynch anybody from 5 to 12 above, we have a 50% chance to hit scum and after that the masons even have a better chance at night. This is if Kong and Dev were telling the truth though.
Loose Canon wrote:Charle wrote:My take of what happened last night is as follows:
First we are all in agreement we have the following setup:
2 x Vampires
2 x Wolves
9 x Town (Traf is dead, so 8 x Town left).
It seems that a Vampire killed Traf. Then another creature (Wolf) entered, had a fight with each other, Dev entered the room and the Wolf damaged Dev's protective Vest whereafter both creatures ran away.
Kong came up and said that Strike and EW are town, so Kong might be town aligned as well.
Just one question to both Dev and Kong, why on earth do both of you claim so early in the game? Scum will now know what both of your PR's are and that you have a protective vest Dev.
So if all the above is true, we have:
Confirmed Town:
1. Strike
2. EW
3. Kong
4. Dev
The Rest:
5. DDS
6. pmc
7. Vot
8. Loose
9. Fusi
10. Ragian
11. Pixar
12. Charle
If we lynch anybody from 5 to 12 above, we have a 50% chance to hit scum and after that the masons even have a better chance at night. This is if Kong and Dev were telling the truth though.
It was the above post that led me to investigate you Charle.
It was the but is Charle town question that was like an itch to be scratched for me.
Ragian wrote:I don't understand completely...is it because he didn't lump himself in with the townies?
Charle wrote:Morning guys, sorry had a very busy weekend and I see a busy week at the office as well.
Very interesting things happening at the moment here. There must have been a deflection of some sort, it could have been that scum has some sort of bus role and exchanged their roles with me, or there was another deflection as per the night script.
I am still going to read through it now if I get time later today, but a few things comes to my mind.
1. Why did Loose investigate me?
2. If scum used a bus role on me, then again, why me?
3. I need to look into what EW is on about, it is as if he is almost upset that scum did not target him after an invitation. Or is it not?
4. Why was there only 1 kill last night if we have wolves and vampires, meaning there were some protection? If someone was protected, surely we will know it somehow like Devante's so called bulleted vest?
All I can say at this moment is that it will not be good for town to get a claim out of me, I prefer not to reveal that at this stage and there is a pretty good reason for that. What I can say for now is that I do not have any night actions.
Ragian wrote:I don't think that's a particular good reason. It's not a rule that town doesn't include oneself in a list because most people do it. I acknowledge, however, that it is unusual, but I would've investigated one of the ones that had been voted for or scrutinized instead. Like me, Fusi, or Pixar. Seems like a more townie move. But hey, it's nice that Loose finally made use of his powers. If that's what's going on
Extreme Ways wrote:Ragian wrote:I don't think that's a particular good reason. It's not a rule that town doesn't include oneself in a list because most people do it. I acknowledge, however, that it is unusual, but I would've investigated one of the ones that had been voted for or scrutinized instead. Like me, Fusi, or Pixar. Seems like a more townie move. But hey, it's nice that Loose finally made use of his powers. If that's what's going on
What about the conclusion that we have 50% chance of hitting scum if we lynch in
The Rest:
5. DDS
6. pmc
7. Vot
8. Loose
9. Fusi
10. Ragian
11. Pixar
12. Charle
From Charle's point of view, you remove yourself from this list and say you have 4/7 chance of hitting scum.
I will await what Charle says, I dont want to speedlynch, but the odds are against him.
Extreme Ways wrote:I was being truthful and Charle,when you get to that time later today, we need more from you.
Iliad wrote:The upside of calling everyone scum and making 1000 predictions is that statistically you should get a few right.
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