Ok, the big thing that is itching me on streaker being town. His claim.
Streaker wrote:Ah f*ck. I really didn't want to lynch HotShot. However I cannot accept his jailkeeper claim.
Will read thoroughly today, especially the case on him.
For his claim alone, however, I'm willing to hammer him (still plenty to deadline).
Takes a very strong stance on the claim of hotshot, very which strongly indicates he plans to counter claim. Since, hotshots role is usually considered more of a townie role.
Streaker wrote:Not quite. Yet it would be hard to believe both jailkeeper and roleblocker are in the same allignment.
I know that usually roleblocker is mafia alligned, but I would never claim this, at this point, from a mafia perspective. I have a good feeling this will bust HotShot (or prove that the mod sucks at balance.)
Which he backs up with a following post. This post imo comes form a town sided player more than a mafia sided because of how he words the counter claim. Generally, if you are a mafia role blocker, even if a town blocker claims, you really don't want to out yourself for a 1 for 1. That role is just not that much of a threat in towns hand, when you are sure there are informative roles, and protective roles which can prove to me much more troublesome.
Secondly we have his stance on the situation, "he knows roleblocker is mafia alligned" Usually mafia don't want to admit something like this in a counter claim, specially since it weakens the counter claim to state something like this. Town, even with mafia sided roles are usually more forthcoming with this kind of information. Note, like zivel in game of thrones mafia was a role that was immune to checks of all kinds, yet was town. A mafia would never want to admit having this kind of power, since it throws huge suspicion on the player. The same goes for how streaker is acting with this claim. Yet, zivel announces this information, since its helpful for the rest of town to know this. And as a town person, you know you are clean, thus how you portray this information comes from a more innocence kind of claim, which imo is harder to fake as mafia.
This matches with how streaker claimed, could he have faked it? sure. But we go down the road of what does streaker have to gain from this counter claim. I see more to gain if a kill had been placed on mtamb, because they (mafia) want the removal of a protective role. Since we are more inclined that that hasn't happened, it seems less likely that a mafia counter claims on something unknown, even with hotshot being a protective role since hotshot could still very well be lynched in this situation. I think streaker, doesn't counter claim as mafia vs hotshot, and pushes him instead. More of a "sudden change".
This is the major reason why i believe streaker is not the best case for a lynch.