I know how you feel Cat, I just spent an hour sifting through the last day as well. If I join another Mafia game I'll have to consider dropping out of my clan first to make the time available!
Note: If you wish to skip my logic and go straight to the heart of my thoughts, scroll straight down to the bottom of this post where the text is all in
color.
Now to the game.
After an hour of sifting and note-taking, and cross-checking I will offer up some thoughts on the game and on various players:
The Night SceneDuring the night scene there were two individuals killed within the game (I'm not including Rodion because he was killed by an outside force - the Mod, otherwise known as God). I don't believe that mafia would have killed mafia unless there was a busdriver involved... which still seems iffy. So, for now, we'll assume mafia killed Maximumbandit. But that means someone else had to kill Jonty, who flipped as mafia. Although it could make sense that Deuces did the killing as a revenge for the 'lover' death, I don't think that was the case. Deuces was not revived until
after Jonty was killed. That leaves, most likely, a third party killer.
For the remaining six players in the game, I think there is:
1 - Mafia
1 - Third Party
4 - Town
Deuces He frustrates me a little at this point. He's offered nothing concrete and useful to the discussion, even after a couple different players have requested that he bring something to the table. It feels like he is sure everyone else is convinced he is town, so he can just coast the rest of the way through the game knowing he won't be lynched. The sad part is I think he is right. Although Sniper did not specify the role when "wife Ginger" came back to life, I don't see any reason she would have switched allegiances. I think it most likely that the "
Survivor" part of her role meant that whenever/however she was killed, she had the chance to come back to life again. Although I would like to see Deuces lynched because he is bringing nothing to the game, I don't think that is a good call at this point. I believe he remains Town.
Iron Butterfly I do not believe Iron Butterfly is Mafia, but I also do not believe he is Town. Without rehashing the first 20 pages, he and Rodion went back and forth in a fight to the death - the WIFOM, if you will. The argument benefitted Rodion at the time because it helped him cast suspicion on many other individuals, while allowing him a slight degree of control over the game. Excellent strategy for mafia. I think the argument benefitted IB because he was a third party player. His role doesn't care if town gets hanged, 3rd parties normally have their own motives, not Town's survival, as a win condition. I've come to the conclusion of IB being third party also because of his posts from Day 3.
- He claimed an innocent town role very early on.
- He answered my question about Leitz being investigated by Zimmah with a resounding No!
- He posted the WIFOM argument (which was a pleasant break from the game, thank you).
- He also posted the extensive reasoning on why the percentages of mafia vs town should matter to us
- He tried to point out that Deuces was third party even though his role posted by Sniper says town.
- He then tries to push Mob to claim because Mob has been quiet for D3.
Iron Butterfly wrote:I am Town. I would not have argued with Rodion the way I did if I was Mafia. He would not let me go because he knew I was right about him and I had him pegged.
Iron Butterfly wrote:Sundog308 wrote:Leitz wrote: I don't agree with the way he played his role, but in the end he did turn town and he did investigate me the first night.
Quick noob question. Does the person being investigated normally know that they have been investigated?
No!
Iron Butterfly wrote:3 mafia would be 25% of Population.
Poisoner/survivor combined with mafia would be more then 33% for game balance..however that is offset by the duo being connected. You kill one and the other dies.
At the start of the game there were 5 people vs 7 town,
we have 2 confirmed dead mafia plus the lovers=4 we have still out there 1 more.
He has also declined to extensively respond to several of Leitz's requests for further explanations of his suspicions and his interpretations of the Night kills. I can't really quote examples here, because, well... he didn't say anything.
I think these all add up to equal IB muddying up the waters just enough to hide himself as a 3rd party killer. That said, IB will not get my vote for lynch because Town doesn't normally win by killing off third parties, they win be eliminating mafia. (
Someone please correct me if I'm wrong on the win conditions!)That leaves Cat, Leitz, and Mob.
Leitz He has consistently tried to push us back on track by voting for me, or pushing suspicion my way.
Leitz wrote:Just to get things back on track again: I have a slight suspicion on Sundog being the third mafia player. It's a guts feeling, nothing in particular..
Leitz wrote:I suggest we get back on topic and find the last mafia and make this a town win! I am though keeping catnips correct suspicion of the event that wife "Ginger" might have come back as a mafia. But as this is snipers first mod came, I'm more keen to believe she was just unconscious or something like that..
I think IB, catnip & deuces to be town, so that leaves MoB & sundog. To get things going:
Unvote, vote sundog
He also believed that IB and I have some sort of connection.
Leitz wrote:Like I said, because this is snipers first mafia game as a mod I believe the setup to be rather simple. The return of wife Ginger was I believe more like an awaking after being unconscious after she found her husband dead. There is a possibility she returned as scum, but because of the first time mod I didn't really think that would be the case. I'm keeping it in mind, but for now am not taking it into account. That's why I choice sundog over Deuce.
The way you've been protecting sundog I'm thinking the both of you also have a connection. Not taking in consideration deuces possible turn of camps, there is one mafia left. So that would make the both of you town.
Unvote
I don't think this adds up to a clear indication of mafia or town for Leitz. He could be trying to set me up because I'm a likely suspect for the town to lynch, but he could also be just a townie looking to eliminate suspects. He's clearly suspicious of me, but that doesn't mean I'm going to rush to hang him.
Catnipdreams Cat has played a fairly consistent game. True he did slow down a bit near the end as well, but all his other comments have been useful, insightful and brought actual content to the game. He hasn't ever really argued hard one way or the other, but always kept looking for more facts. Early on I believed he could likely be the cop, but that proved to be incorrect.
(And Cat, could you help with some confusion I am having. I can't tell from the way you write, or from your avatar or from your signature as to what your gender is. If you don't mind, would you let me know how you would prefer to referred to in gender: 'he' or 'she'? Of course, 'your awesomeness', would be considered as well.)
That leaves....
Mob Deadly Although Mob initially started to defend me today,
MoB Deadly wrote:Leitz wrote:Just to get things back on track again: I have a slight suspicion on Sundog being the third mafia player. It's a guts feeling, nothing in particular..
I had those same thoughts initially, but there are a lot of things that convinced me that hes town now. Ill look for quotes that shifted my thoughts on him
he quickly changed those thoughts when the Sundog Bandwagon became available, and then proceeded to drop out of the conversation. I don't want to vote on him because of real life getting busy though. I understand that all too well myself.
I will vote for him because he has been around just enough to be noticed, but not enough to be suspicious. When he did post, he posted enough to bring up another point for discussion, but not enough to really take a stance. But the key for me was his behavior at the end of Day 2.
I made a post indicating that I would reveal my thoughts and my vote soon:
Sundog308 wrote:I have some thoughts to post, but won't get them on here until my lunch break - in about three hours. I do believe at that time I will have a vote as well.
Could we get Skill to do another post confirming the lynching status? I think both Zimmah and IB are at L-2 right now?
I followed up as I promised, posting my thoughts and placing a vote on Zimmah. Mob followed my post with the hammer vote on Zimmah a mere 4 minutes later. That's
FOUR minutes later.
MoB Deadly wrote:vote Zimmah Thats a lynch.
Its very very probable Rodion is scum as well.
I think he also fingered Rodion, knowing that if we lynched IB and IB came back non-mafia, that would lead us to lynch Rodion. But since Rodion had already played out his hand in the argument to the death with IB, Mob stood to gain the most by aligning himself with town to gain trust through the rest of the game.
To sum up:
1 - mafia - Mob
1 - third party - IB
4 - town - the rest of usVote Mob DeadlyAs for my role, I'm not prepared to claim, but I will admit to holding a Town power role, although I don't believe it would fall into one of the "traditional" power roles we would expect in a mods first game.