by Joey3GA on Thu Aug 18, 2011 9:06 pm
I can't believe I'm having to do this, but I guess some people have no lives or anything better to do than to analyze games and try to find reasons thing didn't go their way in the game. You're obviously not a statistician, because you would know it takes more than crunching the numbers on the amount of times a person attacks another, but taking into account all variables that drive the strategy to move. Let me list a few of them for you:
Starting configuration
Starting configuration in reference to the 2 easiest continents to acquire and hold (South America & Australia)
Attacking due to leverage in #'s 7 vs. 3 instead of 7 vs. 5 to increase fortifications
Attacking due to leverage in #'s 7 vs. 3 instead of 7 vs. 5 to try and take a card
Attacking due to leverage in #'s 7 vs. 3 instead of 7 vs. 5 to try to get additional countries for increased reinforcements on the following turn.
Continent acquirement
Continent destruction
Amount of countries a player has to reduce the amount of reinforcements allowed (taking a card from someone with 15 countries to they only get 4 reinforcements vs. someone who has 12 or less)
Players buildup around or nearby your fortifications
Ability to take a player out of the game
A players likelihood of trying to take you out of the game (decision whether to flee or attack)
# of players in the game
Retaliation (not a good strategy to win, but I see it frequently here)
Good rolls vs bad rolls
I can really go on and on. I know each one of you out there complaining considers all of these things and more when taking your turns, if you don't, there's something wrong with you, and maybe you need the remedial course on strategy for Risk. The fact is that you have to dissect every move and the strategy behind it to get the real picture. If you tried to do that, you would see that there is no bias to our moves based on favorability towards one another. We are competing against each other to get the highest rank, the last thing I'm going to do is help him get a leg up. As Evil Semp has tried to explain to you, the third grade math of finding the % of times someone attacks another doesn't prove or even signal cheating. In a three person game, and with a large enough sample of games, for the most part you would statistically expect the ratio of wins to balance out to 33%. You are handpicking maybe 5 games out of over a hundred, so for one thing your sample size is too small without modifying the results based on an entire population of games. Just like you don't care about the five games that ADAIR posted to show games that proved the opposite; we just don't care if you accuse us of cheating because we know we're not, so we're not going to take the time to go through every game. First attacks make no difference whatsoever, so that is just a weak argument to begin with. The likelihood is of attacking someone repeatedly in a small sample of games greatly increases because there are only 3 people in the game. In another post one of you says that it's obvious we are cheating, what that tells me is that it's obvious you're an angry person that reacts off the cuff and makes excuses because they got a bad setup in a game and lost. What's obvious is that you aren't interested in finding out twice so far that there is no evidence that we are cheating, and that's because it's not happening. And you try to go rally the troops by contacting all your friends on here who we may or may not have played with and get them to come parrot you're battling cry? Really?! Frankly, that just pathetic. You just want to be right and have the satisfaction of getting someone banned because your bitter you lost and you think we were out to get you from the beginning. In every 3 person game, the first person out could claim the other two players teamed up against them. And while you claim otherwise, the games you have looked at alone are not enough to show anything. And as for the multiple screen names for the same person accusation, who would be stupid enough to buy two Upgraded accounts to try to get more points on a internet game that gains them nothing? You guys really have nothing better to do. If you are still determined that we are cheating, there's a simple solution, don't play with us. It's really that simple. If you could look at this without bias, I promise you, this makes absolute logical sense; and you're lying to yourself if you say otherwise, and you know it. This is really all I have to say on the matter. I'm sorry you feel mistreated, but we are here to have fun, that's all. You should too, you'll enjoy yourself more instead of getting so bent out of shape over nothing. I wish you all the best, hopefully we can play together again sometime and you'll notice everything I've said is true. In fact, I'll even tell you why I did what I did after every move. You'll see we each have our own best interest in mind, and we can all get back to enjoying what is just supposed to be a game, not a feud.