macbone wrote:When I'm deciding whether I have enough armies to take out someone else, I add up all of the player's armies and add 1 for each territory I need to conquer.
Say the enemy has six territories, with 8, 3, 3, 2, 1, 1. I'd make sure I have at least 24 armies in this case.
Is my estimation too low? Is there a better gauge for armies needed to eliminate another player?
Download assault odds calculator. This 1.5x rule is incorrect. Truth is that you only need 87 troops to take out 100 half of the time.
Here's a summary:
20 v 8, 3, 3, 2, 1, 1 = 48% chance of success.
21 = 55%
22 = 62%
23 = 68%
24 = 74%
25 = 79%
26 = 83%
27 = 86%
28 = 89%
29 = 92%
30 = 94%
2011-11-07 14:19:43 - StinknLincoln: whoa, what happened?
2011-11-07 14:19:50 - Beckytheblondie: Becky happened