Senfive wrote:wicked wrote:I think a no lynch helps us just b/c odds are we'll lynch a townie today by just guessing with no info. sure we can talk, but with no info to share about our PM's, what are we going to say? "Hi, I'm a townie, how about you?"
I just did the math. We have 2 options
Option #1. we have a 25% of lynching Scum today. With a 30% chance on Day 2.
Option #2 we have a 0% of lynching Scum if you no vote. Also giving up a townie in the process at night. which will leave us with the odds 3/11 which is a 27.3% chance of lynching Scum on Day 2, still with little info to go on but our gut feelings. Odds don't improve drasticly if we no vote.
Ok assuming the said cop investigates someone during the night, who is to say that you won't lynch him to find out if he is telling the truth? You did in the last game.
Please correct me anyone if my logic is flawed.
don't try to explain that to wicked. she doesn't understand statistics.