The 2024 Elections in the US, mostly Harris vs. Trump

[HitRed]

Where it all started

[jusplay4fun]

another poll,but this one is specifically about the key Swing States:

‘Good News For Donald Trump’: CNN’s Harry Enten Says Trump Is Performing ‘Significantly Better’ In Swing States

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said on Monday that Republican nominee Donald Trump is faring better in swing states in comparison to the 2020 election.

Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris by 5 points in Arizona and holding a 4-point and 3-point lead in Georgia and North Carolina, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll from Monday. Enten said these averages are “significantly better” than how he performed in polling from 2020, spelling good news for the former president.

“You’ve got a lot of red on this screen, this is pretty good news for Donald Trump … You take it all together in these three key battleground states, two of which [President] Joe Biden carried 4 years ago, we see that Donald Trump is ahead and by an average of 4 points, significantly better than he did back in 2020 across all of these states,” Enten said.

Enten further pointed to Harris’ 2-point lead in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, stating there is a “great divide” between the Sun Belt and Great Lake states. He credited Trump’s coalition being more racially “diverse” for the former president’s higher polling averages in Sun Belt states, with the former president’s support among non-white voters increasing from 16% in 2020 to 20% in 2024.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/good-news-for-donald-trump-cnn-s-harry-enten-says-trump-is-performing-significantly-better-in-swing-states/ar-AA1r3ikb?ocid=winp2fptaskbar&cvid=ccd70d7ce0cb41e591bd34ea63a4978c&ei=11

[Pack Rat]

Ignore North Carolina? Looks like North Carolina and even Georgia will go BLUE.

You guys are all poll supporters, if they go RED, but if they go BLUE...you say the polls are wrong.

Trump cult followers are breeding more hate speech, as they see no light at the end of their tunnel of self delusion.

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[jusplay4fun]

Ignore North Carolina? Looks like North Carolina and even Georgia will go [color=#0000BF]BLUE.

[b]You guys are all poll supporters, if they go [color=#FF0040]RED, but if they go [color=#0000BF]BLUE...you say the polls are wrong.

Trump cult followers are breeding more hate speech, as they see no light at the end of their tunnel of self delusion.

You spout HATE and stooopidity all the time. pee-rat; you are a left-wing extremist who has swallowed that Kool Aid by the Bucketload.

[Pack Rat]

Your personal attacks on me, shows how petty you can be.

[pmac666]

JustplayforMAGA is so unbiased that he already sounds like godfather Trump himself. lol

[Pack Rat]

JustplayforMAGA is so unbiased that he already sounds like godfather Trump himself. lol

Yes. He's in the MAGA echo chamber and just like Trump, he boasts how right he is and how everyone else is wrong.

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[Cubsessed]

another poll,but this one is specifically about the key Swing States:

‘Good News For Donald Trump’: CNN’s Harry Enten Says Trump Is Performing ‘Significantly Better’ In Swing States

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said on Monday that Republican nominee Donald Trump is faring better in swing states in comparison to the 2020 election.

Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris by 5 points in Arizona and holding a 4-point and 3-point lead in Georgia and North Carolina, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll from Monday. Enten said these averages are “significantly better” than how he performed in polling from 2020, spelling good news for the former president.

“You’ve got a lot of red on this screen, this is pretty good news for Donald Trump … You take it all together in these three key battleground states, two of which [President] Joe Biden carried 4 years ago, we see that Donald Trump is ahead and by an average of 4 points, significantly better than he did back in 2020 across all of these states,” Enten said.

Enten further pointed to Harris’ 2-point lead in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, stating there is a “great divide” between the Sun Belt and Great Lake states. He credited Trump’s coalition being more racially “diverse” for the former president’s higher polling averages in Sun Belt states, with the former president’s support among non-white voters increasing from 16% in 2020 to 20% in 2024.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/good-news-for-donald-trump-cnn-s-harry-enten-says-trump-is-performing-significantly-better-in-swing-states/ar-AA1r3ikb?ocid=winp2fptaskbar&cvid=ccd70d7ce0cb41e591bd34ea63a4978c&ei=11

I'm going to disagree with your reasoning a little bit here, but I think for a Trump fan like you - you would still like the result. For sure, the Times/Sienna poll shows what could be the beginning of a small swing back to Trump. But I think, from what I'm seeing anyway, is that there is a trend over time that's showing that - not just the Times/Sienna poll in and of itself.
There's another poll I just read yesterday where Trump is leading Harris by 1% among likely voters, nationally. I'm mad now because I didn't bookmark it, but if that's anywhere near correct (national popular vote usually leans Democrat), then Trump skunks her in the battleground states.

The top issues remain the economy, illegal immigration, and keeping the country safe. Gallup is showing that Republicans lead on these issues, currently. If that's the case, the independent leaners are going to shift towards Trump. I know that you'll probably disagree with this, but I believe this will be a "reverse coattails" effect. Usually, a party gets the benefit of having a good presidential candidate help them down-ballot. In this case, I think Trump is going to get the benefit of the public swinging towards his party, instead. The Republicans gave up a lot of seats in the 2022 midterms because they nominated people loyal to Trump. The public went against that. Here's the link to the Gallup findings.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/651092/202 ... e-gop.aspx

Susquehanna has Trump and Harris tied exactly at 46% each. That's a 5 point swing from Harris +5 last time they did a poll. So, it's a trend of things more than any one poll that is starting to emerge. You can find Harris up by 1-2% nationally, but what you're seeing as a trend is that the Harris surge after being nominated seems to be fading. Like I said, for someone like you, the result it good. But for a different reason then what you're saying. The trend could easily swing back in the other direction.

[Cubsessed]

Found it - the Quinnipiac poll just realeased

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3908

[HitRed]

Nate Silver likes the AtlasIntel poll the best and he votes Dem.

I’m very positive on the election. I believe quality over time will win.

[pmac666]

What you all forget is that the margin of error is a blue bleeding democrat since they took women rights away.
And i see no trend with that Quinnipac poll, rather an outlier.



And remember the red wave from 22?
All the smart ppl who said there wont be one are all super relaxed about 24.
And so am i. The american ppl arent that dumb and will send the maga hate machinery finally packing.....(ofc republicans will still refuse to learn the lesson, TRUMP 2028!!! ).

"Winston Churchill once famously observed that Americans will always do the right thing, only after they have tried everything else."

[pmac666]

Nate Silver likes the AtlasIntel poll the best and he votes Dem.

I’m very positive on the election. I believe quality over time will win.

Arent you a christian?
And what do you mean with quality?
Sexual abuse, adultery, racism, fraud and overturning your gvmt?
Whats the bible verse for those quality values?

[mookiemcgee]

Nate Silver likes the AtlasIntel poll the best and he votes Dem.

I’m very positive on the election. I believe quality over time will win.

I just went and scanned through this on and a few things stood out:

44% of those asked do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of Mike Johnson, responded with 'Who the f*ck is that?'

Trump has a 13% lead among males, and Kamala only has a 4% lead among females... this is pretty far off from most other polling.

Kamala has a 2% favorability lead, but then also is 'rejected' more than trump by 3% which seems odd, but I think is an interesting one. The % of people who do not like trump but will still hold their nose and show up on election day and vote for him could be what decides things.

you can download it here if anyone wants:
https://www.atlasintel.org/poll/usa-national-2024-09-14

[pmac666]

One thing i dont get is Arizona.
Gallego is beating Kari Filter by double digits but Trump is beating Kamala by 4-6%.
A 15 - 20 point swing from Gallego to Trump?
Sounds ridiculous.
Good we dont need it.....

[pmac666]

Marco Rubio in 2016: “Here’s the guy that inherited $200 million. If he hadn’t inherited $200 million, you know where Donald Trump would be right now? Selling watches in Manhattan,"

https://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop ... hes-219820

Donald Trump in 2024: Trump’s $100,000 Watches Are the Most Tragic Celebrity Watch Yet
Former president Donald Trump wants you to buy gaudy, overpriced timepieces “made for those who combine boldness and elegance.” He got one part right.

https://www.wired.com/story/trumps-doll ... watch-yet/

[saxitoxin]

Today, Ukrainian president Zeke was summoned to an audience with Donald J. Trump at Trump Tower. Zeke dutifully obeyed the order and was lectured on matters of state for 37 minutes and informed the day is approaching when he will have to transfer titular control of the Donbas to the Russian Federation.

Zeke was then dismissed so that President Trump could receive a hip hop delegation led by Li'l Pump and Li'l Wayne, who are - in every respect - more important than a leader of the burning remnants of what was once Ukraine. Zeke looked cowed and uncomfortable during his entire ordeal. He left to return to the presidential suite at the Brooklyn Motel 6, looking sullen and depressed.

[pmac666]

Today, Ukrainian president Zeke was summoned to an audience with Donald J. Trump at Trump Tower. Zeke dutifully obeyed the order and was lectured on matters of state for 37 minutes and informed the day is approaching when he will have to transfer titular control of the Donbas to the Russian Federation.

Zeke was then dismissed so that President Trump could receive Li'l Wayne, who is - in every respect - more important than a leader of the burning remnants of what was once Ukraine. Zeke looked cowed and uncomfortable during his entire ordeal.

Good that violent sexual abuser Trump will never see the WH from inside again.
Must make you happy since your hero endorsed Kamala. lol

[ConfederateSS]

--------- Everyone likes TRUMP, because he is not afraid to say anything...He is no one's mouth piece...
---------Now we get to the LEFT RADICAL PARTY...Biden, Harris etc...
--------- Harris can't come up with a thought on her own...Just another mouth piece, for The Democrat Machine...
---------- When she is not repeating clueless points...Or using a word she saw on her word of the day toilet paper...Like her latest ... Holistic... ...Where she uses a word 1,000 times... mixing the same sentence over...With the same word of the day....
----------- A plan , she says...No plan she has...But when asked this question (why she is not allowed to speak to interviews)...
----------- So Kamala, what do you say to people who aren't with you right now...With your plan(she has none)???...Her response...
-----------"If you are hard working...
----------- If you have the dreams and ambitions and the aspirations of what I believe you do... YOU'RE IN MY PLAN..."... Kamala has no plan...
...

-------------- WHAT ...THE HELL!!!..Just more side stepping by the Democratic Machine...At least TRUMP, says real things, people understand...Like them or not...... ConfederateSS.out!(The Blue and Silver Rebellion)...

[Pack Rat]

Everyone likes Trump?



You should take your show on the road!

[saxitoxin]

Jabbar Al-Maamouri, a member of Iraq's ruling Coordination Framework Alliance, declared, "We will burn down the U.S. Embassy building in the Green Zone today."

It's 7:20 a.m. in Baghdad and America has no president. The Harris campaign is praying her election isn't euthanized on the Euphrates today.

[Votanic]

Jabbar Al-Maamouri, a member of Iraq's ruling Coordination Framework Alliance, declared, "We will burn down the U.S. Embassy building in the Green Zone today."

It's 7:20 a.m. in Baghdad and America has no president. The Harris campaign is praying her election isn't euthanized on the Euphrates today.

I've been to Baghdad's world-famous Green Zone, thanks to Conquer Club maps.

[HitRed]

Jabbar Al-Maamouri, a member of Iraq's ruling Coordination Framework Alliance, declared, "We will burn down the U.S. Embassy building in the Green Zone today."

It's 7:20 a.m. in Baghdad and America has no president. The Harris campaign is praying her election isn't euthanized on the Euphrates today.

I have had the great pleasure of working with our diplomatic corps. Very impressive. They put their best foot forward representing the USA. Sometimes at great risk. Pray for them.

[saxitoxin]

Today, under the Harris Administration and a Rat governor, North Carolina lays in ruin after being leveled by Hurricane Helene without adequate preparation. Florida, which was well prepared, has announced it is sending aid.

Even as post-Helene cleanup continues in Florida, the DeSantis administration is sending state “air assets” and satellite earth stations to areas of North Carolina where the storm caused catastrophic damage that isolated communities.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/09/29/f ... -carolina/

[Pack Rat]

Today, under the Harris Administration and a Rat governor, North Carolina lays in ruin after being leveled by Hurricane Helene without adequate preparation. Florida, which was well prepared, has announced it is sending aid.

Even as post-Helene cleanup continues in Florida, the DeSantis administration is sending state “air assets” and satellite earth stations to areas of North Carolina where the storm caused catastrophic damage that isolated communities.

https://floridaphoenix.com/2024/09/29/f ... -carolina/

Thank you President Biden for continuing to flood the RED States with welfare payments. Socialism is a tit, that the RED States continue to suck!