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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby Iron Butterfly on Tue Mar 27, 2012 10:00 pm

alt1978 wrote:I am not voting for sparticus because i believe he has a use for the town. It's a random shot...but with 2 town down...the odds are getting better and better that he is randomly paired with mafia. I don't understand Safari's dismissal of the role being useful to town. That just simply doesn't make sense. We have someone who is of no threat to town tonight...who can possibly (1/3 chance if there are 5 mafia) come up with a scum investigation. If it doesn't work...if sparticus gets paired with a townie...then we can try it again in two days and then lynch him before he turns. An extra investigation though that comes with the bonus of a role discovery is huge. To throw that out the window or dismiss even the possibility of it's usefulness is "scummy" to me. I know I've already tried once to get a closer look at the supposed body guard of harry potter who let him die night one...but Teflon safari seems impossible to stick anything to.
For me though...this just keeps adding to the tells in my book.
Vote Safari


Safari has stated he would sacrifice himself to let Sparticas gather information night one. Personally I beleive he made that statement because he knew it would not be acted on. Its easy to play the martyr when you dont beleive you will die.

If I were to choose who is more useful Sparticas or Safari, I will hands down choose Sparticas. Vote Safari
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby thehippo8 on Tue Mar 27, 2012 10:04 pm

Iron Butterfly wrote:
alt1978 wrote:I am not voting for sparticus because i believe he has a use for the town. It's a random shot...but with 2 town down...the odds are getting better and better that he is randomly paired with mafia. I don't understand Safari's dismissal of the role being useful to town. That just simply doesn't make sense. We have someone who is of no threat to town tonight...who can possibly (1/3 chance if there are 5 mafia) come up with a scum investigation. If it doesn't work...if sparticus gets paired with a townie...then we can try it again in two days and then lynch him before he turns. An extra investigation though that comes with the bonus of a role discovery is huge. To throw that out the window or dismiss even the possibility of it's usefulness is "scummy" to me. I know I've already tried once to get a closer look at the supposed body guard of harry potter who let him die night one...but Teflon safari seems impossible to stick anything to.
For me though...this just keeps adding to the tells in my book.
Vote Safari


Safari has stated he would sacrifice himself to let Sparticas gather information night one. Personally I beleive he made that statement because he knew it would not be acted on. Its easy to play the martyr when you dont beleive you will die.

If I were to choose who is more useful Sparticas or Safari, I will hands down choose Sparticas. Vote Safari


Thanks for this. Finally there are people voicing their opinion in a positive way. I hated to lynch Spart today but I was damned if I was going to be criticised for being dogmatic alone!! But now I'm not alone and I can be at peace. And, yes, Saf seems a safer bet for day two given Spart potential. So ... unvote vote Saf
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby everywhere116 on Tue Mar 27, 2012 10:09 pm

That's not how his role works, at least from what I've been able to decipher.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby freezie on Tue Mar 27, 2012 10:20 pm

Vote Count:

Safari(3): Alt, Iron butterfly, Thehippo8

Nebuchadnezer(2): Dazza, SpartacusV2

L-2SpartacusV2(7): Safari, Strike wolf, Chapcrap, everywhere, Bleed green, Pancakemix, Spiesr

Everywhere(1): Djfireside

Pancake(1): McHammer

16 alive, takes 9 to lynch. Deadline tomorow at 10:00 pm ( basicly 22 hours and 50 minutes from this post )
Last edited by freezie on Tue Mar 27, 2012 10:45 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby Iron Butterfly on Tue Mar 27, 2012 10:30 pm

My vote was never on Neb so please take it off...

A double voter would come up as a question mark I beleive so its probobly just an oversight.

thanks
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby Iron Butterfly on Tue Mar 27, 2012 10:31 pm

I also see that alt is counted twice.

Him and I should both be on safari and not Neb.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby strike wolf on Tue Mar 27, 2012 11:16 pm

alt1978 wrote:I am not voting for sparticus because i believe he has a use for the town. It's a random shot...but with 2 town down...the odds are getting better and better that he is randomly paired with mafia. I don't understand Safari's dismissal of the role being useful to town. That just simply doesn't make sense. We have someone who is of no threat to town tonight...who can possibly (1/3 chance if there are 5 mafia) come up with a scum investigation. If it doesn't work...if sparticus gets paired with a townie...then we can try it again in two days and then lynch him before he turns. An extra investigation though that comes with the bonus of a role discovery is huge. To throw that out the window or dismiss even the possibility of it's usefulness is "scummy" to me. I know I've already tried once to get a closer look at the supposed body guard of harry potter who let him die night one...but Teflon safari seems impossible to stick anything to.
For me though...this just keeps adding to the tells in my book.
Vote Safari


so because he's been able to explain everything well enough that people don't feel compelled to lynch him, that makes him more scummy?
Iliad wrote:The upside of calling everyone scum and making 1000 predictions is that statistically you should get a few right.


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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby alt1978 on Tue Mar 27, 2012 11:33 pm

No sir...what makes him more scummy to me is his ability to explain everything so well...but then not see the potential value in keeping sparticus alive. It seems suspicious to me that a town body guard would dismiss the chance to get a couple of free investigations from what essentially is a temporary town cop-like role. For him to throw that out...that is what is scummy. His defenses of his actions are actually quite brilliant and well put together...town or scum either way.

The other thing that never did quite strike me as making sense though...is if safari is the town body guard...why would he offer himself up as a lynch to prove a point? He is more valuable to the town than being a sacrificial lamb. His ability to understand the game...and then put town at risk by costing them the body guard role...that's what strikes me as scummy strikeforce.

Harry dying and safari being the bodyguard is unfortunate...but not what this case is built on. What this case is built on are safari's actions in his persuit of sparticus. A) He dismisses the potential use of sparticus B) The sacrificial lamb to put town at even greater risk.
A and B don't add up to putting town interests first.

I await another schooling dissertation from the spin master. :) The vote sticks, but I hope that answers your concerns strikeforce.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby everywhere116 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 12:02 am

I think we can see who is willing to split the vote by supporting a case that has no hope of going through....
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby safariguy5 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 2:21 am

alt1978 wrote:No sir...what makes him more scummy to me is his ability to explain everything so well...but then not see the potential value in keeping sparticus alive. It seems suspicious to me that a town body guard would dismiss the chance to get a couple of free investigations from what essentially is a temporary town cop-like role. For him to throw that out...that is what is scummy. His defenses of his actions are actually quite brilliant and well put together...town or scum either way.

The other thing that never did quite strike me as making sense though...is if safari is the town body guard...why would he offer himself up as a lynch to prove a point? He is more valuable to the town than being a sacrificial lamb. His ability to understand the game...and then put town at risk by costing them the body guard role...that's what strikes me as scummy strikeforce.

Harry dying and safari being the bodyguard is unfortunate...but not what this case is built on. What this case is built on are safari's actions in his persuit of sparticus. A) He dismisses the potential use of sparticus B) The sacrificial lamb to put town at even greater risk.
A and B don't add up to putting town interests first.

I await another schooling dissertation from the spin master. :) The vote sticks, but I hope that answers your concerns strikeforce.

I offered myself up for a lynch because I knew people were going to jump on me for jonty dying. This is at least the third time today people have been calling for my head. Seriously, if you didn't believe my claim, you should have killed me the first time. By not lynching me, you're basically saying that you believe my claim for now. The fact that most people didn't go along with your suspicions probably shows that your case on me now is as weak as it was then.

Go back and read what I said again. I did not say that Sparticus "had no use", I said that he "had little use". You all are assuming he's telling the truth with his claim. I don't think he is.

Also, you're comparing him to a cop. He's not a cop, he's not even half a cop. Being a cop assumes you can pick your target. He cannot. Being a cop also assumes you can use your role every night. He also cannot. Being a cop also means that you stay aligned with town until death or the end of the game. He also cannot guarantee that.

Let's assume that he finds one of our power roles. What do you want him to do then? Post in the thread and say "Hey! so and so is [character] AND the [doctor/cop/whatever]?" If he really were a useful role, he'd investigate me tonight and then report what my role/alignment is. As it stands, there's a 1/15 chance that he gets me. Not too inspiring.

And on top of that, calling everyone who voted him as skimming is misguided and doesn't score townie points in my book. He still hasn't answered my question about his WC should he turn Death Eater.

Honestly, I think we can learn a lot from his lynch. Should he flip scum, there's at least 3-4 people who would immediately fall under suspicion for supporting his claim/trying to divert the case.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby thehippo8 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 2:44 am

Well fickle me .. I forgot about that saf!! So ... as stupid as I look I'll drag my weary bones back to the herd and ... unvote vote Spart ... sorry everyone.

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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby Iron Butterfly on Wed Mar 28, 2012 4:51 pm

alt1978 wrote:No sir...what makes him more scummy to me is his ability to explain everything so well...but then not see the potential value in keeping sparticus alive. It seems suspicious to me that a town body guard would dismiss the chance to get a couple of free investigations from what essentially is a temporary town cop-like role. For him to throw that out...that is what is scummy. His defenses of his actions are actually quite brilliant and well put together...town or scum either way.

The other thing that never did quite strike me as making sense though...is if safari is the town body guard...why would he offer himself up as a lynch to prove a point? He is more valuable to the town than being a sacrificial lamb. His ability to understand the game...and then put town at risk by costing them the body guard role...that's what strikes me as scummy strikeforce.

Harry dying and safari being the bodyguard is unfortunate...but not what this case is built on. What this case is built on are safari's actions in his persuit of sparticus. A) He dismisses the potential use of sparticus B) The sacrificial lamb to put town at even greater risk.
A and B don't add up to putting town interests first.

I await another schooling dissertation from the spin master. :) The vote sticks, but I hope that answers your concerns strikeforce.


Exactly and well said sir.

The only people who have to fear Sparticas tonight are the Deatheater side.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby Iron Butterfly on Wed Mar 28, 2012 5:14 pm

safariguy5 wrote:
alt1978 wrote:No sir...what makes him more scummy to me is his ability to explain everything so well...but then not see the potential value in keeping sparticus alive. It seems suspicious to me that a town body guard would dismiss the chance to get a couple of free investigations from what essentially is a temporary town cop-like role. For him to throw that out...that is what is scummy. His defenses of his actions are actually quite brilliant and well put together...town or scum either way.

The other thing that never did quite strike me as making sense though...is if safari is the town body guard...why would he offer himself up as a lynch to prove a point? He is more valuable to the town than being a sacrificial lamb. His ability to understand the game...and then put town at risk by costing them the body guard role...that's what strikes me as scummy strikeforce.

Harry dying and safari being the bodyguard is unfortunate...but not what this case is built on. What this case is built on are safari's actions in his persuit of sparticus. A) He dismisses the potential use of sparticus B) The sacrificial lamb to put town at even greater risk.
A and B don't add up to putting town interests first.

I await another schooling dissertation from the spin master. :) The vote sticks, but I hope that answers your concerns strikeforce.

I offered myself up for a lynch because I knew people were going to jump on me for jonty dying. This is at least the third time today people have been calling for my head. Seriously, if you didn't believe my claim, you should have killed me the first time. By not lynching me, you're basically saying that you believe my claim for now. The fact that most people didn't go along with your suspicions probably shows that your case on me now is as weak as it was then.

Go back and read what I said again. I did not say that Sparticus "had no use", I said that he "had little use". You all are assuming he's telling the truth with his claim. I don't think he is.

Also, you're comparing him to a cop. He's not a cop, he's not even half a cop. Being a cop assumes you can pick your target. He cannot. Being a cop also assumes you can use your role every night. He also cannot. Being a cop also means that you stay aligned with town until death or the end of the game. He also cannot guarantee that.

Let's assume that he finds one of our power roles. What do you want him to do then? Post in the thread and say "Hey! so and so is [character] AND the [doctor/cop/whatever]?" If he really were a useful role, he'd investigate me tonight and then report what my role/alignment is. As it stands, there's a 1/15 chance that he gets me. Not too inspiring.

And on top of that, calling everyone who voted him as skimming is misguided and doesn't score townie points in my book. He still hasn't answered my question about his WC should he turn Death Eater.

Honestly, I think we can learn a lot from his lynch. Should he flip scum, there's at least 3-4 people who would immediately fall under suspicion for supporting his claim/trying to divert the case.


I completly understand the risk of supporting Sparticus. I have no doubt that should Sparticas flip scum Mafia would have a field day, after all one is assumed guilty for siding or trying to protect someone who flips mafia. Thats Mafia 101...But we will deal with that IF that truly is the case.

What bothers me is that Mafia has this covered both sides now. I am not implying everyone is Mafia, but the train certianly has been steered. Hes either Mafia so he must be killed or Even if he is Town, his role is to dangerous and unpredictable so he must be killed. He has been wrapped in a nice little box.

Safari you are assuming way to much about how Sparticas will handle the information. Why would you automaticly assume that he will broadcast to the world the full details of who is who?
You are assuming the worst.

With no offense to Sparticas, he does need work on his play style and strategy. I am sure he will be first to admit that. I beleive he is Town. Freezie created this role for a reason, if you beleive the role is Town then he has Towns interests regardless of what happens several days from now.

Should he flip scum you now have 4-5 people to choose from because they beleived the role was Town. I can live with that. So if he flips Town what then? You want to hold Neb and I to the fire for defending his role...who do we hold to the fire if he flips Town?

You stated you would sacrifice yourself so Sparticas could use his NA. You stated you would flip Town. You stated that we would then have to kill Sparticas for obvious reasons. THEN you say Neb and I should be strongly looked at. Why? Because we defended Sparticas and he flipped town and we were right or because Sparticas flipped scum and we were wrong?

You cant have it both ways.

..................
The power supply for my computer went on me. I now have to order it..it wont be here till monday, which means I will need to rely on the internet cafe near our house. I will try and get on once a day. We are in an interesting part of the game so my apolgies but not much I can do.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby safariguy5 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 6:37 pm

Again, I never said anything about if Sparticus flips town. You and alt are trying to argue the inverse of what I said IB.

I believe there is plenty of justification for lynching Sparticus. The difference between him and me is that I've been upfront and clear about who I am and what my role does. He has not.

I also have not tried to deflect blame put on me for jonty's death. Sparticus has accused everyone who has questioned his claim as "skimming".

As for my assertion about Sparticus finding a power role, I'm simply illustrating how he's not as useful as those who are defending him make him out to be. Assuming his role is true, if he finds out everything about a town power role, he would not want to divulge that information. So not only is he limited in the number of possible investigations, some of those investigations could be on important roles that work best if left hidden to the mafia. I'm failing to see how he could be a great resource to town.

Here's an quick question then. Who has the more important claimed role? Sparticus or me? Let's set aside any rationalization for whether we're lying or not. If you had to pick one role who's more important than the other, who is more important? I'll allow everyone the option to say that we're of equal importance if that is what they want to say.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby freezie on Wed Mar 28, 2012 6:54 pm

deadline in 2 hours.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby everywhere116 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 6:55 pm

Remind me, is this a plurality-lynch game or a forced no-lynch game?
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby freezie on Wed Mar 28, 2012 6:58 pm

everywhere116 wrote:Remind me, is this a plurality-lynch game or a forced no-lynch game?


All is in the rules and I posted a reminder 2 days beforehands.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby everywhere116 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 6:59 pm

Yeah, just checked. I'm guessing this will be an impasse day?
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby freezie on Wed Mar 28, 2012 7:05 pm

everywhere116 wrote:Yeah, just checked. I'm guessing this will be an impasse day?



http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=213&t=163644&start=795#p3660644
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby everywhere116 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 7:08 pm

@Freezie: Gotcha

@ Everyone else: I'm going to watch Survivor, so I would like to say one thing: The reasoning for believing that Spartihar has a 1/3 chance of discovering scum is flawed. His role works, as claimed, by randomly watching someone and revealing the roles of anyone who targets said person. Mafia only have a 1/16 chance of targeting said random watchee, 2/16 is you assume they have a secondary night action, which is reasonable, and 3/16 is they have two secondary night actions, which is a bit of a stretch.

Also I agree that Saf's role is more valuable.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby Nebuchadnezer on Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:17 pm

Well, maybe a no lynch is good, as it will keep two townies around. Safari can try for a save, and SPART can give us some info.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby Djfireside on Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:19 pm

I still believe that he can give info and want to believe it but am torn at this final point. It's the gambler anxiety I guess
Always question things given too easily.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby spiesr on Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:29 pm

Nebuchadnezer wrote:Well, maybe a no lynch is good, as it will keep two townies around. Safari can try for a save, and SPART can give us some info.
What is your plan going forward? What do you propose that we do tomorrow if we don't come up with any information that solidly points anyone to be scum?
If you could magically get enough votes before the deadline, which player would you lynch today?
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby chapcrap on Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:30 pm

Nebuchadnezer wrote:Well, maybe a no lynch is good, as it will keep two townies around. Safari can try for a save, and SPART can give us some info.

:roll: If only they were both town. Advocating a no lynch here is the epitome of scumminess. He should be lynched. Town gains nothing from no lynches. Especially on a day like today.
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Re: Harry potter: The fight for freedom. Day 2. (16/18)

Postby everywhere116 on Wed Mar 28, 2012 8:36 pm

chapcrap wrote:
Nebuchadnezer wrote:Well, maybe a no lynch is good, as it will keep two townies around. Safari can try for a save, and SPART can give us some info.

:roll: If only they were both town. Advocating a no lynch here is the epitome of scumminess. He should be lynched. Town gains nothing from no lynches. Especially on a day like today.

Indeed. I hate to see an obvious lynch be stalled at L-1, especially since two people who aren't voting for him now had voted for him previously today. That says to me "Oh, yeah, I'm against him and all, but, like, I don't really want him to be lynched."
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