spiesr wrote:Some7hingCLEVER wrote:thechuck51 wrote:I think nagerous is ash. That leaves 1 crew member as a fake claim for the alien which I believe is Brett/clever.
I saw clever visit and kill Saf. Just like Jones saw the alien kill Brett in the movie. And now he claims VT (a typical fake claim). The alien made the kill so if we lynch clever maybe there is no kill tonight.
I would like to hear nag's reasoning as to why he counter claimed
would there really be a busdriver in this game? i didnt visit anyone last night im a vt.
I don't see any reference to a busdriver anywhere, so what are you talking about? Anyhow, if you did not actually visit anyone last night a busdriver is
not capable of making it seem that you did.
Nagerous, where are you? If you don't show up before long we might have to lynch without hearing from you.
Right now I am torn with what to do today. We have too decent leads, but we don't have a lot of room to maneuver anymore. We can lynch either nagerous or SomethingClever today. (Or somebody else, but I don't think any of the other options are truly viable at this point.) SomethingClever presents the biggest risks and the biggest rewards. If he is the Alien then we are more or less homefree. If Chuck is lying or somehow mistaken then we will most likely lose, depending on what exactly nagerous is. So, lynching SomethingClever basically comes down to gambling everything on whether Chuck is telling the truth or making a gambit to win at the miss lynch and lose point. At this point I really don't know which it is myself. Of course, we could also reverse this option, believing Clever and lynching Chuck instead.
The other option is to lynch nagerous. I think this option is safer but probably less productive. The most likely course of events that I can see coming from it is that either Jak or myself will be night killed and then the survivor will have to make to same decision between Chuck and SomethingClever tomorrow. Unless nagerous is the Alien and Chuck/Clever is Ash then I can't see this playing out any other way. Of course if another player dies during the day somehow then we are screwed.
All of our choices appear to be leading to the same place right now. At some point we will have to sort out who it telling the truth between Chuck & Clever, and nagerous will need to die eventually as well. We can make the hard decision today, or put it off until tomorrow. The most important factor at this point might just be if either Jak or I have a night action that could help sort it out. I suppose today we could hear nagerous's opinion on the matter, but whatever he says will be so full of WIFOM I don't think it will be of any use.
So yeah, Jak this game is essentially just you and me now. Two of the three others are not town. And at this point, their votes are basically meaningless I think.
Aye,
Unvote for now.
Nagerous is probably the safest lynch, but I don't think it'd hurt to hear his side and thoughts. If he's 3rd party unless he can only win with the alien he'll be more interested in helping us out when there's only 2 possible people for the alien.
Chuck's claim IS believable but that being said he was the last to claim so he knew the cat was an open claim.
Without Clever's character we'd be missing a human character from the movie, so his claim is believable as well..
Nagerous we know is scum or 3rd party. A probe would be nice on him Strike. He has a LOT to answer for.
Of course, Spiesr and I are pretty much the only cleared townies atm. No counter claims, no action wifom, etc.
Right now, my stance on who to lynch is this.
60% Nagerous ~ He fake counter claimed a townie. He could have gotten away with Ash and claiming he was town and that the "Ash is mafia" was just wifom. But with him getting a fellow townie killed, this is not the case. For all we know he MAY be the alien as well..
25% Chuck ~ He has little to lose and a lot to gain from fake claiming a town watcher. If he successfully gets Clever killed then tomorrow he can say Nagerous is either a framer or busdriver. Which would seriously cause much WIFOM tomorrow.
15% Clever ~ If Chuck isn't lying, he was caught red handed.
Gonna re-read it later. See which one slipped more.. Clever or Chuck.. Though I find it amusing that Clever hasn't slapped the vote down on Chuck. Right now they know who the mafia really is.. Both of them.
Whether Chuck is telling the truth or not, it's impossible for Nagerous to be THE alien.. because either Chuck is truthful and Clever is, or Chuck is lying and he is..
What are your thoughts Spiesr? Think we should take a gamble at one of them or go the safe route and hope whichever one of us makes the right choice tomorrow?
Fasposted by Nag
Looks like you've confirmed our thoughts. Now either Chuck of Clever is..
Fastposted again
Most likely. But we'll see.