Thoughts:
Hotshot: With all the tests, he passed from Storr's analysis, it seems very reasonable to assume that he is indeed telling the truth. As for Storr's question about the flavor of his claim, it's not perfect but it does not contradict the flavor that is known of the game or the character. I would say he is likely town at this point.
Aage-Weakest claim and border line buddying up to Storr. Reasonably strong town play that was called into doubt by HotShot. Considering I have mostly town read him, I am unwilling to vote him right now without rereading his posts for myself. If he indeed scum who is trying to buddy up to Storr, I would actually find it slightly more likely that Storr is town as I see a scum Aage being more hesitant about defending a scum buddy. Again since Storr asked me about the flavor here as well: Doesn't contradict the game and could fit the character.
Storr-Tunneled Hotshot past the claim. Dislike much of his play. Watcher claim confirmed, alignment uncertain.
DD5-Claimed name seems to contradict game flavor. Lover role has some differences from what was seen of Zivel's and Ultra's claims. Was posting more townie earlier but has kind of fallen back more into scummier postings:
dd515087 wrote:Zivel wrote:Jebus.... I go away for a couple of hours and shit hits the fan. So AoG comea out looking alright, aage and Hotshot in the middle and Storr... well storr just got two full claims and is pushing for a third. Mafia watcher maybe. I don't buy that just cause he is faster than the mod to the forum that makes him conf town.... someone explain.
I can't see strike being scum. He is one of my top town reads and his rebuttals of storrs points only confirms this more.
I think PCM has looked a bit dodgy this day and would be worth a look. I could happily lynch dd as the support from mtam just confirms they are lovers not town. My strongest scum is Streaker. Counter claims hotshot to push the lynch through but doesn't mean shit really and the stuff at the end of day 1 just seems to scummy.
Cant make a full post as I am the phone but lets lynch dd or streaker.
He revealed what he knew as soon as he found out is what makes him look town IMO. He also didn't push for aage IIRC, only HotShot.
Don't have any issue with this statement actually. The logic is reasonable.
DD5 wrote:I think strike could be scum, but if he is he's damn good at it. There are definitely better leads to look into though.
PCM has been a bit dodgy, whatsausage and crasp have also. I think lynching one of them would be good. Personally the latter two are scummier to me.
This seems more like him saying it just because he doesn't want to be put into the spotlight. Possibly from Storr especially with how vocal Storr has been.
DD5 wrote:"the support from mtam just confirms they are lovers not town" -- Where the hell do you come up with this shit? You seemed town to me, but this just makes me think there is a scum lover pair because you still think there is. The only reason I could see that you think that is if you are the scum lover pair, but I have no other facts besides that bit of tinfoil so I'm going to go ahead and just say that you're not really thinking it through
Highly defensive. He's not actually putting up any reasons why the statement is bad, he is just calling it bad.
DD5 wrote:Also, you're the 3rd person to say they think streaker is scummy (myself included). So I'm going to go ahead and vote Streaker for now
Baa Baa black sheep. Have you any wool?
My biggest hesitancy on DD is it is possibly two townies and it does feel a bit like the easy lynch today.
Mtam: If you are reviver, why didn't it strike you as scummier when you thought Ultra was claiming the same role as you? And yes, I want to hear Mtam answer this not DD for him.
AoG: His counter claim was an attempt to prove someone was lying. This doesn't prove his role but it puts him in a pretty strong town light.
Streaker: Similar to AoG in that he tried to disprove a claim with his claim but not quite as solidly. The thought that a jail keeper and a role blocker are both town isn't impossible and I am 99.5% sure it's been done a few times outside of a game that had limited attempt at balance. Freely admits that some of his moves were bad. Don't disagree. Right now I am leaning town on Streaker.
PCM: Haven't really gotten around to examining his posts today more closely. Seemed to miss some key details which might be scummy or might be because of limited time. Fuller read pending.
Whatsausage: My view here hasn't really changed much. He's said somethings I agreed with in regards to calling out Storr on not backing up a town read and the fact that day 1, we really did need to get more information from the lovers' situation. But he has said other things I didn't like as much. His half thought out reasoning on why the counter claim wasn't as townie sticks out. Again will reread.
that's my abridged views on at least the major people who have really been pushed as possible lynch candidates today.
From the viewpoints of gives us the most information probably Aage as the best candidate. As far as weaker claims, Aage or DD would be a toss up. Scummy play, right now I would lean DD at least until I've reread Aage. Easier wagon for scum to hide on, probably DD. Regardless of what I reread, I no longer feel like Storr is the correct lynch at this point. If nothing else, his back and forth with Hotshot after the claim was more townie than scummy for similar (if more abstract) reasons as AoG and Streaker. He may have tunneled a bit at the end of it but tunneling is not necessarily a scum behavior.
Unvote Storr. I will be rereading Aage tonight, hopefully get around to PCM and Whatsausage as well to see if how much merit there is at this point.
Right now I am against mass claiming, the protective roles that have not claimed if no others are probably better left unclaimed so that mafia can't zero in on them and if we are going to leave them unclaimed, it would be necessary to have others left unclaimed so that mafia can't zero in on them anyways because they are the only ones unclaimed. If all of the claimed were solidly town, that might be different but that's not really how I am reading the situation as of yet.
Reading up before posting: Storr has a point, mafia might try to kill Mtam as DD's lover but they are also likely to leave him alone and let town throw their resources at him. Revenge kill by AoG would at the very least assume that he was in charge of the mafia kill and no one was able to convince him out of it.