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Wanted Dead or Alive: Green Cards

PostPosted: Tue Nov 01, 2022 7:40 am
by pmchugh
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Just wanted to share. I believe the odds to be at best 1 in 6245 games. The all red sets is just a funny kicker.

With 131 regions, I guess there is max 88 non-green cards. And I did 1 / ((88/131) * (87 / 130) * (86/129) * ... * (69 / 112))

Re: Wanted Dead or Alive: Green Cards

PostPosted: Tue Nov 01, 2022 7:58 am
by i-andrei
Lol

The odds of not getting a green card in 20 cards is actually 66.67%^20 so that's about 0.03%

Re: Wanted Dead or Alive: Green Cards

PostPosted: Tue Nov 01, 2022 9:40 am
by pmchugh
i-andrei wrote:Lol

The odds of not getting a green card in 20 cards is actually 66.67%^20 so that's about 0.03%


I thought that originally, I guess it depends on how the cards are coloured. Like, is each one just assigned a random colour on drawing it? I assumed, perhaps incorrectly, that the cards each represent a territory and are split into 3 groups of colours, and that no card would repeat until you had went through every card. In which case, the odds are not just 2/3 each time, it actually gets slightly less with each red or blue card draw.

Re: Wanted Dead or Alive: Green Cards

PostPosted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 12:19 am
by TeeGee
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Re: Wanted Dead or Alive: Green Cards

PostPosted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 6:22 pm
by pmchugh
My streak finally broke, my 23rd card was green. I'm almost sad.

Re: Wanted Dead or Alive: Green Cards

PostPosted: Wed Nov 02, 2022 8:04 pm
by TrafalgarLaw01
I wonder if ur opponent only has green cards, lol

Re: Wanted Dead or Alive: Green Cards

PostPosted: Thu Nov 03, 2022 2:53 am
by pmchugh
TrafalgarLaw01 wrote:I wonder if ur opponent only has green cards, lol


They went mixed set, green set, blue set, green set.

Presumably they still have more green cards in hand.