KoE_Sirius wrote:KoE_Sirius wrote:...Yes of course if you roll 1000 times you'll probably get a fair average....
This confirms my quote.Except you turned 1000 rolls into 4.5 million. Roll ten times on any given day and you'll either have good or bad dice.Not average.Roll real dice 10 times and you'll get average dice.Plus rolling 100 troops vs 14 should never ever result in a loss.That's more like a computer glitch.
Conspiracy
I'm not sure which quote you're saying I confirmed. My point was that you
should get a fair average (each number appears the same % of the time) over millions of rolls, but no one does. 1000 rolls is not enough to see the bias in the CC dice. About 40,000 is usually enough.
As for streaks, I've seen in threads that there are "millions of dice rolls here per day", so let's assume 60 million rolls per month. You can expect a streak of 12 of the same number in a row to occur once every 60 million rolls, so it's likely to happen to somebody about once a month, and shorter streaks will happen even more often.
If you consider that an attacker has a 29.26% chance of losing 2 troops on a roll, then about twice every three months, someone is going to attack and lose 30 troops in a row, while the defender loses none. These kinds of streaks are to be expected, but to the unlucky player that gets them, it makes the dice look unfair, so they start a thread to complain about them. I haven't seen any evidence that the CC dice are more or less streaky than you would expect from real life.
